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Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final

Market icon

Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final

$87,937 Vol.

14 mai 2026
Polymarket

$87,937 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Dinamarca

$555 Vol.

95%

Market icon

Ucrânia

$1,172 Vol.

95%

Market icon

Austrália

$11,407 Vol.

94%

Market icon

Chipre

$7,019 Vol.

84%

Market icon

Bulgária

$5,139 Vol.

83%

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Romênia

$5,214 Vol.

80%

Market icon

Malta

$737 Vol.

78%

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Noruega

$4,544 Vol.

72%

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Albânia

$3,173 Vol.

68%

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Chéquia

$25,080 Vol.

61%

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Letônia

$638 Vol.

61%

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Suíça

$6,224 Vol.

39%

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Luxemburgo

$4,932 Vol.

36%

Market icon

Armênia

$10,309 Vol.

30%

Market icon

Azerbaijão

$1,794 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The revelation of the Second Semi-Final running order two days ago for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna has sharpened trader analysis, slotting frontrunners like Ukraine's LELÉKA ("Ridnym," position 12) and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse," 11th) in late, high-impact spots that historically boost televote momentum, while Bulgaria's DARA opens with "Bangaranga" and Azerbaijan’s JIVA follows at second with "Just Go." Fifteen countries compete for 10 Grand Final berths alongside auto-qualifiers Austria, France, and the UK, with outcomes hinging on combined jury and public votes—including rest-of-world online input. Recent national final wins, like LELÉKA topping Ukraine's Vidbir, fuel buzz, but staging reveals in upcoming late-April rehearsals could spark volatility in this unpredictable qualification race set for May 14.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$87,937
Data de Término
14 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.The revelation of the Second Semi-Final running order two days ago for Eurovision 2026 in Vienna has sharpened trader analysis, slotting frontrunners like Ukraine's LELÉKA ("Ridnym," position 12) and Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse," 11th) in late, high-impact spots that historically boost televote momentum, while Bulgaria's DARA opens with "Bangaranga" and Azerbaijan’s JIVA follows at second with "Just Go." Fifteen countries compete for 10 Grand Final berths alongside auto-qualifiers Austria, France, and the UK, with outcomes hinging on combined jury and public votes—including rest-of-world online input. Recent national final wins, like LELÉKA topping Ukraine's Vidbir, fuel buzz, but staging reveals in upcoming late-April rehearsals could spark volatility in this unpredictable qualification race set for May 14.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$87,937
Data de Término
14 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dinamarca" at 95%, followed by "Ucrânia" at 95%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final" has generated $87.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final" is "Dinamarca" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ucrânia" at 95%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovisão 2026: Segunda Meia-Final" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.