Christine Lagarde's public affirmation that her baseline is to serve her full non-renewable eight-year term as European Central Bank (ECB) president until October 2027 underpins trader consensus pricing an 83% implied probability against her departure in 2026. February reports suggesting an early exit to enable French President Macron to nominate a successor ahead of 2027 elections were swiftly denied by ECB spokespeople, who emphasized her focus on current duties, with no decision confirmed. Lagarde has since delivered key speeches on geoeconomic risks and monetary policy in March, signaling continuity amid euro zone challenges. Absent misconduct warranting rare European Court of Justice removal or unforeseen political shifts, markets reflect low odds of change before 2027.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$12,371 Vol.
$12,371 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$12,371 Vol.
$12,371 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Lagarde's public affirmation that her baseline is to serve her full non-renewable eight-year term as European Central Bank (ECB) president until October 2027 underpins trader consensus pricing an 83% implied probability against her departure in 2026. February reports suggesting an early exit to enable French President Macron to nominate a successor ahead of 2027 elections were swiftly denied by ECB spokespeople, who emphasized her focus on current duties, with no decision confirmed. Lagarde has since delivered key speeches on geoeconomic risks and monetary policy in March, signaling continuity amid euro zone challenges. Absent misconduct warranting rare European Court of Justice removal or unforeseen political shifts, markets reflect low odds of change before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Volume
$12,371Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Lagarde's public affirmation that her baseline is to serve her full non-renewable eight-year term as European Central Bank (ECB) president until October 2027 underpins trader consensus pricing an 83% implied probability against her departure in 2026. February reports suggesting an early exit to enable French President Macron to nominate a successor ahead of 2027 elections were swiftly denied by ECB spokespeople, who emphasized her focus on current duties, with no decision confirmed. Lagarde has since delivered key speeches on geoeconomic risks and monetary policy in March, signaling continuity amid euro zone challenges. Absent misconduct warranting rare European Court of Justice removal or unforeseen political shifts, markets reflect low odds of change before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,371Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Christine Lagarde's public affirmation that her baseline is to serve her full non-renewable eight-year term as European Central Bank (ECB) president until October 2027 underpins trader consensus pricing an 83% implied probability against her departure in 2026. February reports suggesting an early exit to enable French President Macron to nominate a successor ahead of 2027 elections were swiftly denied by ECB spokespeople, who emphasized her focus on current duties, with no decision confirmed. Lagarde has since delivered key speeches on geoeconomic risks and monetary policy in March, signaling continuity amid euro zone challenges. Absent misconduct warranting rare European Court of Justice removal or unforeseen political shifts, markets reflect low odds of change before 2027.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions