Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus edge at 15.5% implied probability stems from his unmatched Augusta National mastery—two green jackets (2022, 2024), best-ever cumulative scoring (-40 to par), elite strokes gained approach and par-5 dominance—bolstered by steady recent form amid a quiet spring. Rory McIlroy (7.5%), 2025 defending champion, shares second billing with DeChambeau despite lingering back injury rust from March withdrawals, differentiated by his eight top-10s in 12 Masters starts. DeChambeau's identical pricing reflects scorching LIV momentum, including a playoff win over Rahm last week, while Rahm (7.1%) leverages his 2023 victory and consistent LIV contention. Schauffele and Aberg trail with proven consistency and upside, but Fitzpatrick's fresh Valspar Championship win elevates his 4.2% slice in this wide-open field ahead of Houston Open conclusions and Valero exemptions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoScottie Scheffler 16%
Rory McIlroy 8%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.1%
$59,656,450 Vol.
$59,656,450 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Rory McIlroy
8%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Justin Rose
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Jason Day
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Max Homa
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Rory McIlroy 8%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.1%
$59,656,450 Vol.
$59,656,450 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Rory McIlroy
8%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Justin Rose
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Jason Day
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Tiger Woods
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Max Homa
1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus edge at 15.5% implied probability stems from his unmatched Augusta National mastery—two green jackets (2022, 2024), best-ever cumulative scoring (-40 to par), elite strokes gained approach and par-5 dominance—bolstered by steady recent form amid a quiet spring. Rory McIlroy (7.5%), 2025 defending champion, shares second billing with DeChambeau despite lingering back injury rust from March withdrawals, differentiated by his eight top-10s in 12 Masters starts. DeChambeau's identical pricing reflects scorching LIV momentum, including a playoff win over Rahm last week, while Rahm (7.1%) leverages his 2023 victory and consistent LIV contention. Schauffele and Aberg trail with proven consistency and upside, but Fitzpatrick's fresh Valspar Championship win elevates his 4.2% slice in this wide-open field ahead of Houston Open conclusions and Valero exemptions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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