Scottie Scheffler's two prior Masters triumphs in 2022 and 2024, coupled with four straight top-10 finishes at Augusta National and a recent PGA Championship victory, anchor his trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability despite a subdued early 2026 form. The race stays tightly bunched, however, as Bryson DeChambeau's power off the tee and recent playoff win over Jon Rahm—now leading the PGA Tour in strokes gained at +2.7 per round—elevate their profiles to 7.5% and 7.3%, while defending 2025 champion Rory McIlroy holds 6.5% amid solid tee-to-green metrics. Cameron Young's Players Championship win last month boosts him to 3.3%, and Collin Morikawa's back injury withdrawal from that event tempers his 2.5% share in a 93-player field demanding precision through Amen Corner.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoScottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$63,501,245 Vol.
$63,501,245 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Akshay Bhatia
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Taylor Pendrith
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Davis Thompson
1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$63,501,245 Vol.
$63,501,245 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Akshay Bhatia
3%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Taylor Pendrith
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Davis Thompson
1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's two prior Masters triumphs in 2022 and 2024, coupled with four straight top-10 finishes at Augusta National and a recent PGA Championship victory, anchor his trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability despite a subdued early 2026 form. The race stays tightly bunched, however, as Bryson DeChambeau's power off the tee and recent playoff win over Jon Rahm—now leading the PGA Tour in strokes gained at +2.7 per round—elevate their profiles to 7.5% and 7.3%, while defending 2025 champion Rory McIlroy holds 6.5% amid solid tee-to-green metrics. Cameron Young's Players Championship win last month boosts him to 3.3%, and Collin Morikawa's back injury withdrawal from that event tempers his 2.5% share in a 93-player field demanding precision through Amen Corner.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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