Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 15.5% implied probability stems from his world No. 1 status, elite ball-striking, and strong Augusta National course history, amplified by a recent Players Championship victory that underscores his early 2026 form amid minor swing tweak discussions. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) draw support from LIV Golf momentum—both jumped significantly in OWGR last week—with DeChambeau's power suiting par-5 scoring and Rahm's proven major pedigree at the Masters. Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the defending champion after completing his career Grand Slam last April, faces scrutiny on iron consistency despite featured groupings hype, while Ludvig Aberg (5.1%) and Xander Schauffele (4.9%) highlight the wide-open field's youth surge via recent top finishes, keeping no contender above 16% in this strokes-gained around-the-green gauntlet.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoScottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,098,743 Vol.
$61,098,743 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 16%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,098,743 Vol.
$61,098,743 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
16%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Jason Day
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus lead at 15.5% implied probability stems from his world No. 1 status, elite ball-striking, and strong Augusta National course history, amplified by a recent Players Championship victory that underscores his early 2026 form amid minor swing tweak discussions. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) draw support from LIV Golf momentum—both jumped significantly in OWGR last week—with DeChambeau's power suiting par-5 scoring and Rahm's proven major pedigree at the Masters. Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the defending champion after completing his career Grand Slam last April, faces scrutiny on iron consistency despite featured groupings hype, while Ludvig Aberg (5.1%) and Xander Schauffele (4.9%) highlight the wide-open field's youth surge via recent top finishes, keeping no contender above 16% in this strokes-gained around-the-green gauntlet.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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