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NCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?

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NCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?

4% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO
4% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a triple-double in any game during the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (including First Four games). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a triple-double is achieved when a player records double digits (10 or more) in three of the following statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament competition is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a triple-double occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the men's NCAA Tournament down to the Final Four—featuring Michigan, Arizona, UConn, and Illinois—traders price "No" at 96.5% implied probability for any player recording a triple-double, reflecting zero such performances through the Elite Eight despite over 60 games played. This aligns with historical scarcity, as only about 10 official triple-doubles have occurred in March Madness history amid tighter defenses, lower possessions (typically 60-70 per game), and win-focused play over stat-padding. Final Four stars like Michigan's Yaxel Lendeborg or Illinois' Keaton Wagler lead in scoring or rebounding but lack consistent assist volume; an upset-level stat line from a high-usage guard in Saturday's semifinals or the April 6 championship could shift odds, though elite matchups make it improbable.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a triple-double in any game during the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (including First Four games). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, a triple-double is achieved when a player records double digits (10 or more) in three of the following statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks.

If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament competition is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a triple-double occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,401
Data de Término
7 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a triple-double in any game during the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (including First Four games). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a triple-double is achieved when a player records double digits (10 or more) in three of the following statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament competition is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a triple-double occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a triple-double in any game during the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (including First Four games). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a triple-double is achieved when a player records double digits (10 or more) in three of the following statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament competition is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a triple-double occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the men's NCAA Tournament down to the Final Four—featuring Michigan, Arizona, UConn, and Illinois—traders price "No" at 96.5% implied probability for any player recording a triple-double, reflecting zero such performances through the Elite Eight despite over 60 games played. This aligns with historical scarcity, as only about 10 official triple-doubles have occurred in March Madness history amid tighter defenses, lower possessions (typically 60-70 per game), and win-focused play over stat-padding. Final Four stars like Michigan's Yaxel Lendeborg or Illinois' Keaton Wagler lead in scoring or rebounding but lack consistent assist volume; an upset-level stat line from a high-usage guard in Saturday's semifinals or the April 6 championship could shift odds, though elite matchups make it improbable.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a triple-double in any game during the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (including First Four games). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, a triple-double is achieved when a player records double digits (10 or more) in three of the following statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks.

If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament competition is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a triple-double occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,401
Data de Término
7 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a triple-double in any game during the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament (including First Four games). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, a triple-double is achieved when a player records double digits (10 or more) in three of the following statistical categories: points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks. If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament competition is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a triple-double occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 3% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 3¢, the market collectively assigns a 3% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "NCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?" is 3% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 3% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Tournament: Player to record triple-double?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.