Polymarket traders assign a 65% implied probability to Apple (AAPL) closing above $225 by March 31, reflecting optimism around Apple Intelligence AI features unveiled at WWDC previews and resilient iPhone demand despite China headwinds. Current spot price hovers near $228 after a 2% weekly gain, buoyed by $94B quarterly services revenue beating estimates and a forward P/E of 32x versus S&P 500's 21x. Key risks include U.S. antitrust scrutiny on App Store fees and potential tariff hikes impacting supply chains. Watch March 28 CPI data for Fed rate cut signals boosting tech multiples; historical EOM volatility averages 1.5% for AAPL, with resolution based on NYSE close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$442,760 Vol.
$210
95%
$220
98%
$230
94%
$240
87%
US$ 250
64%
$260
21%
$270
6%
$280
4%
$290
1%
US$ 300
1%
$310
1%
$320
1%
US$330
<1%
$442,760 Vol.
$210
95%
$220
98%
$230
94%
$240
87%
US$ 250
64%
$260
21%
$270
6%
$280
4%
$290
1%
US$ 300
1%
$310
1%
$320
1%
US$330
<1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 65% implied probability to Apple (AAPL) closing above $225 by March 31, reflecting optimism around Apple Intelligence AI features unveiled at WWDC previews and resilient iPhone demand despite China headwinds. Current spot price hovers near $228 after a 2% weekly gain, buoyed by $94B quarterly services revenue beating estimates and a forward P/E of 32x versus S&P 500's 21x. Key risks include U.S. antitrust scrutiny on App Store fees and potential tariff hikes impacting supply chains. Watch March 28 CPI data for Fed rate cut signals boosting tech multiples; historical EOM volatility averages 1.5% for AAPL, with resolution based on NYSE close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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