Katharina Pötter, the CDU incumbent since 2021, holds a commanding position in the September 13, 2026, Osnabrück Oberbürgermeister election, with traders assigning her roughly three-quarters implied probability due to established name recognition, prior electoral success in a 2021 runoff, and unanimous party nomination. A fragmented field of challengers—including SPD candidate Robert Alferink, Green nominee Volker Bajus, and lower-polling contenders from the FDP, Left, and AfD—has prevented consolidation of opposition support ahead of the direct vote, which triggers a September 27 runoff only if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. Recent campaign activity has centered on standard candidate announcements and local policy platforms without major shifts or disruptions, reinforcing market consensus around Pötter’s structural advantages while leaving modest room for a runoff scenario or stronger-than-expected performance by individual opponents in the final days.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKatharina Pötter 78%
Robert Alferink 9%
Volker Bajus 1.8%
Oliver Hasskamp <1%
$68,288 Vol.
$68,288 Vol.
13 set 2026
Katharina Pötter
78%
Robert Alferink
9%
Volker Bajus
2%
Oliver Hasskamp
1%
Thorsten Wassermann
1%
Thomas Groß
1%
Katharina Pötter 78%
Robert Alferink 9%
Volker Bajus 1.8%
Oliver Hasskamp <1%
$68,288 Vol.
$68,288 Vol.
13 set 2026
Katharina Pötter
$51,502 Vol.
78%
Robert Alferink
$14,028 Vol.
9%
Volker Bajus
$1,345 Vol.
2%
Oliver Hasskamp
$541 Vol.
1%
Thorsten Wassermann
$587 Vol.
1%
Thomas Groß
$284 Vol.
1%
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter, the CDU incumbent since 2021, holds a commanding position in the September 13, 2026, Osnabrück Oberbürgermeister election, with traders assigning her roughly three-quarters implied probability due to established name recognition, prior electoral success in a 2021 runoff, and unanimous party nomination. A fragmented field of challengers—including SPD candidate Robert Alferink, Green nominee Volker Bajus, and lower-polling contenders from the FDP, Left, and AfD—has prevented consolidation of opposition support ahead of the direct vote, which triggers a September 27 runoff only if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. Recent campaign activity has centered on standard candidate announcements and local policy platforms without major shifts or disruptions, reinforcing market consensus around Pötter’s structural advantages while leaving modest room for a runoff scenario or stronger-than-expected performance by individual opponents in the final days.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Volume
$68,288Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter, the CDU incumbent since 2021, holds a commanding position in the September 13, 2026, Osnabrück Oberbürgermeister election, with traders assigning her roughly three-quarters implied probability due to established name recognition, prior electoral success in a 2021 runoff, and unanimous party nomination. A fragmented field of challengers—including SPD candidate Robert Alferink, Green nominee Volker Bajus, and lower-polling contenders from the FDP, Left, and AfD—has prevented consolidation of opposition support ahead of the direct vote, which triggers a September 27 runoff only if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. Recent campaign activity has centered on standard candidate announcements and local policy platforms without major shifts or disruptions, reinforcing market consensus around Pötter’s structural advantages while leaving modest room for a runoff scenario or stronger-than-expected performance by individual opponents in the final days.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$68,288Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Katharina Pötter, the CDU incumbent since 2021, holds a commanding position in the September 13, 2026, Osnabrück Oberbürgermeister election, with traders assigning her roughly three-quarters implied probability due to established name recognition, prior electoral success in a 2021 runoff, and unanimous party nomination. A fragmented field of challengers—including SPD candidate Robert Alferink, Green nominee Volker Bajus, and lower-polling contenders from the FDP, Left, and AfD—has prevented consolidation of opposition support ahead of the direct vote, which triggers a September 27 runoff only if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. Recent campaign activity has centered on standard candidate announcements and local policy platforms without major shifts or disruptions, reinforcing market consensus around Pötter’s structural advantages while leaving modest room for a runoff scenario or stronger-than-expected performance by individual opponents in the final days.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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