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50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?

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50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?

20% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO
20% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Trader consensus prices an 80.5% "No" probability on any MrBeast video hitting 50 million first-day YouTube views by April 30, driven by recent underwhelming opening-day metrics. His mid-March 2026 release, "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat," stalled at 36 million views despite hype, ranking mid-tier among his last 10 videos amid mixed feedback on repetitive challenges. Prior March uploads like "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex" echoed this sub-50 million velocity, a sharp drop from 2024 peaks fueled by viral stunts like Beast Games qualifiers. Absent blockbuster teases or cross-platform promo surges, markets reflect saturation risks, though an unannounced mega-challenge could ignite late-month algorithmic push before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$9,361
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Trader consensus prices an 80.5% "No" probability on any MrBeast video hitting 50 million first-day YouTube views by April 30, driven by recent underwhelming opening-day metrics. His mid-March 2026 release, "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat," stalled at 36 million views despite hype, ranking mid-tier among his last 10 videos amid mixed feedback on repetitive challenges. Prior March uploads like "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex" echoed this sub-50 million velocity, a sharp drop from 2024 peaks fueled by viral stunts like Beast Games qualifiers. Absent blockbuster teases or cross-platform promo surges, markets reflect saturation risks, though an unannounced mega-challenge could ignite late-month algorithmic push before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$9,361
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 20% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 20¢, the market collectively assigns a 20% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?" is 20% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 20% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.