Trader consensus prices Iga Świątek as the 27.5% implied probability favorite for the 2026 Women's French Open, with Aryna Sabalenka close at 22%, underscoring a fiercely competitive clay-court landscape defined by Świątek's unmatched Roland Garros dominance—three straight titles from 2022-2024 plus Olympic gold—against Sabalenka's surging form, including her 2024 RG final run and recent hard-court triumphs like the Wuhan Open victory over Świątek. Coco Gauff's 10% reflects her breakout RG semifinal and youth, while Elena Rybakina's 7.5% nods to her powerful baseline game despite injury concerns. The tight top clustering stems from the 18-month horizon, recent surface shifts exposing vulnerabilities, and a deep field with risers like Mirra Andreeva gaining traction via junior-to-pro transitions, keeping probabilities dispersed amid unpredictable injuries, form slumps, and clay-specific adaptations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoIga Świątek 28%
Aryna Sabalenka 22%
Coco Gauff 10%
Elena Rybakina 7.5%
$1,144,759 Vol.
$1,144,759 Vol.
Iga Świątek
28%
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Coco Gauff
10%
Elena Rybakina
8%
Jasmine Paolini
6%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Jessica Pegula
3%
Karolína Muchová
3%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Naomi Osaka
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Iga Świątek 28%
Aryna Sabalenka 22%
Coco Gauff 10%
Elena Rybakina 7.5%
$1,144,759 Vol.
$1,144,759 Vol.
Iga Świątek
28%
Aryna Sabalenka
22%
Coco Gauff
10%
Elena Rybakina
8%
Jasmine Paolini
6%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Amanda Anisimova
4%
Jessica Pegula
3%
Karolína Muchová
3%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Victoria Mboko
2%
Belinda Bencic
2%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Madison Keys
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Naomi Osaka
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Iga Świątek as the 27.5% implied probability favorite for the 2026 Women's French Open, with Aryna Sabalenka close at 22%, underscoring a fiercely competitive clay-court landscape defined by Świątek's unmatched Roland Garros dominance—three straight titles from 2022-2024 plus Olympic gold—against Sabalenka's surging form, including her 2024 RG final run and recent hard-court triumphs like the Wuhan Open victory over Świątek. Coco Gauff's 10% reflects her breakout RG semifinal and youth, while Elena Rybakina's 7.5% nods to her powerful baseline game despite injury concerns. The tight top clustering stems from the 18-month horizon, recent surface shifts exposing vulnerabilities, and a deep field with risers like Mirra Andreeva gaining traction via junior-to-pro transitions, keeping probabilities dispersed amid unpredictable injuries, form slumps, and clay-specific adaptations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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