Trader consensus prices Carlos Alcaraz (36.5%) and Jannik Sinner (36.0%) nearly even for the 2026 Wimbledon men's title, underscoring a fiercely competitive grass-court Grand Slam race between the world No. 1 and No. 2. Sinner's Sunshine Double—claiming Indian Wells over Medvedev in mid-March and Miami on March 29 after a semifinal win over Zverev—has fueled his momentum on hard courts, positioning him as a legitimate threat despite limited grass success. Alcaraz holds a slight edge via superior Wimbledon history, including deep runs as a two-time champion, though his third-round Miami exit to Korda and Indian Wells semifinal loss temper expectations. Djokovic's right shoulder injury forcing a Miami withdrawal drops him to 7.2%, while Zverev (3.5%) lags after his semifinal defeat. With French Open looming before grass, health and surface transitions will dictate shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCarlos Alcaraz 37%
Jannik Sinner 36%
Novak Djokovic 7.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.5%
$2,589,634 Vol.
$2,589,634 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
37%
Jannik Sinner
36%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Alexander Zverev
3%
João Fonseca
2%
Jack Draper
2%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Lorenzo Sonego
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz 37%
Jannik Sinner 36%
Novak Djokovic 7.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.5%
$2,589,634 Vol.
$2,589,634 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
37%
Jannik Sinner
36%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Alexander Zverev
3%
João Fonseca
2%
Jack Draper
2%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Lorenzo Sonego
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Carlos Alcaraz (36.5%) and Jannik Sinner (36.0%) nearly even for the 2026 Wimbledon men's title, underscoring a fiercely competitive grass-court Grand Slam race between the world No. 1 and No. 2. Sinner's Sunshine Double—claiming Indian Wells over Medvedev in mid-March and Miami on March 29 after a semifinal win over Zverev—has fueled his momentum on hard courts, positioning him as a legitimate threat despite limited grass success. Alcaraz holds a slight edge via superior Wimbledon history, including deep runs as a two-time champion, though his third-round Miami exit to Korda and Indian Wells semifinal loss temper expectations. Djokovic's right shoulder injury forcing a Miami withdrawal drops him to 7.2%, while Zverev (3.5%) lags after his semifinal defeat. With French Open looming before grass, health and surface transitions will dictate shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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