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Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

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Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026

Espanha 15.8%

Inglaterra 12.8%

França 11.1%

Argentina 9.8%

Polymarket

$427,107,233 Vol.

Espanha 15.8%

Inglaterra 12.8%

França 11.1%

Argentina 9.8%

Polymarket

$427,107,233 Vol.

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Espanha

$5,587,423 Vol.

16%

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Inglaterra

$6,549,838 Vol.

13%

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França

$4,221,170 Vol.

11%

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Argentina

$6,703,876 Vol.

10%

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Brasil

$6,395,460 Vol.

9%

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Portugal

$8,042,486 Vol.

7%

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Alemanha

$6,718,442 Vol.

5%

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Holanda

$8,976,556 Vol.

3%

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Noruega

$7,422,696 Vol.

3%

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Itália

$7,696,134 Vol.

2%

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Bélgica

$7,439,359 Vol.

2%

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Colômbia

$7,033,631 Vol.

2%

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EUA

$4,647,764 Vol.

2%

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Marrocos

$8,764,630 Vol.

2%

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Japão

$8,584,020 Vol.

1%

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Uruguai

$7,382,307 Vol.

1%

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México

$6,675,804 Vol.

1%

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Croácia

$7,866,510 Vol.

1%

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Suíça

$8,162,924 Vol.

1%

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Equador

$8,752,202 Vol.

1%

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Senegal

$8,111,223 Vol.

1%

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Canadá

$11,452,322 Vol.

1%

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Áustria

$10,089,011 Vol.

1%

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Coreia do Sul

$13,181,225 Vol.

<1%

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Paraguai

$11,387,288 Vol.

<1%

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Costa do Marfim

$8,728,861 Vol.

<1%

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Austrália

$8,083,131 Vol.

<1%

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Gana

$9,881,741 Vol.

<1%

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Argélia

$10,236,069 Vol.

<1%

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Escócia

$10,870,404 Vol.

<1%

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Tunísia

$10,827,080 Vol.

<1%

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Arábia Saudita

$17,279,711 Vol.

<1%

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Egito

$10,128,198 Vol.

<1%

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Haiti

$12,195,801 Vol.

<1%

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Jordânia

$16,199,824 Vol.

<1%

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Curaçao

$19,774,974 Vol.

<1%

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Irã

$11,268,734 Vol.

<1%

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África do Sul

$19,158,765 Vol.

<1%

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Cabo Verde

$10,202,874 Vol.

<1%

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Catar

$11,264,176 Vol.

<1%

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Uzbequistão

$26,872,450 Vol.

<1%

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Nova Zelândia

$16,075,194 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at 16% implied probability, propelled by their Euro 2024 title, top FIFA ranking, and early UEFA qualification lock-in via dominant group play. France's resilient 2-1 friendly win over Brazil three days ago—Mbappé's opener and Ekitiké's strike holding firm despite Upamecano's red card—bolstered their 11% standing, underscoring depth amid tune-up tests. England (13%), defending champions Argentina (10%), and Brazil (9%) cluster tightly behind, fueled by elite squads, star power like Bellingham, Messi, and Vinícius Júnior, and favorable December group draws in the expanded 48-team format that heightens knockout volatility and upset risks across North American venues.

Spain leads trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at 16% implied probability, propelled by their Euro 2024 title, top FIFA ranking, and early UEFA qualification lock-in via dominant group play. France's resilient 2-1 friendly win over Brazil three days ago—Mbappé's opener and Ekitiké's strike holding firm despite Upamecano's red card—bolstered their 11% standing, underscoring depth amid tune-up tests. England (13%), defending champions Argentina (10%), and Brazil (9%) cluster tightly behind, fueled by elite squads, star power like Bellingham, Messi, and Vinícius Júnior, and favorable December group draws in the expanded 48-team format that heightens knockout volatility and upset risks across North American venues.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at 16% implied probability, propelled by their Euro 2024 title, top FIFA ranking, and early UEFA qualification lock-in via dominant group play. France's resilient 2-1 friendly win over Brazil three days ago—Mbappé's opener and Ekitiké's strike holding firm despite Upamecano's red card—bolstered their 11% standing, underscoring depth amid tune-up tests. England (13%), defending champions Argentina (10%), and Brazil (9%) cluster tightly behind, fueled by elite squads, star power like Bellingham, Messi, and Vinícius Júnior, and favorable December group draws in the expanded 48-team format that heightens knockout volatility and upset risks across North American venues.

Spain leads trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at 16% implied probability, propelled by their Euro 2024 title, top FIFA ranking, and early UEFA qualification lock-in via dominant group play. France's resilient 2-1 friendly win over Brazil three days ago—Mbappé's opener and Ekitiké's strike holding firm despite Upamecano's red card—bolstered their 11% standing, underscoring depth amid tune-up tests. England (13%), defending champions Argentina (10%), and Brazil (9%) cluster tightly behind, fueled by elite squads, star power like Bellingham, Messi, and Vinícius Júnior, and favorable December group draws in the expanded 48-team format that heightens knockout volatility and upset risks across North American venues.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 43+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Espanha" at 16%, followed by "Inglaterra" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " has generated $427.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 ," browse the 43+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " is "Espanha" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Inglaterra" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da Copa do Mundo da FIFA de 2026 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.