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Deadline predictions & odds

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Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

15%

$10M Vol.

$117K Liq.

267

Ends in 8 months

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by...?

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by...?

8%

August 30

$3.1K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by...?

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by...?

8%

June 30

$846K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

150

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

29%

$268K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

7

Ends in 8 months

Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?

Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?

11%

$1.3K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

42%

$7.8K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

2%

$45.3K Vol.

$63.3K Liq.

21

Ends in 8 months

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

29%

$4.5K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

28%

$254K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

29

Ends in 8 months

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

49%

7

$73.4K Vol.

$40.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 4 months

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?

5%

$2.4K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

11%

$8.9K Vol.

$696 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

28%

24–27

$31.6K Vol.

$52.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

42%

44+

$55.4K Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

69%

Civilian Service Act

$66.9K Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Vlad to the Bone666 (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Vlad to the Bone666 (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs

100%

The Last Resort

$341 Vol.

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs OLDBOYS- (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs OLDBOYS- (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

50%

OLDBOYS-

$10 Vol.

$83 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Counter-Strike: Alzon vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group B

Counter-Strike: Alzon vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group B

100%

paiN Academy

$357 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Ctrl Alt Defeat vs VP.Future (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

Counter-Strike: Ctrl Alt Defeat vs VP.Future (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

100%

VP.Future

$692 Vol.

Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

100%

AaB Esport

$40.9K Vol.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Deadline.

Polymarket currently hosts 129 active markets for Deadline that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $11.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 86% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Deadline predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.