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Deadline predictions & odds

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Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

16%

$10M Vol.

$206K Liq.

266

Ends in 8 months

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by...?

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by...?

29%

June 30

$306K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

31

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

29%

24–27

$28.5K Vol.

$69.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

27%

$264K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

7

Ends in 8 months

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

14%

$249K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

27

Ends in 8 months

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

78%

7

$72.9K Vol.

$66.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 4 months

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

45%

40–43

$55.3K Vol.

$52.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 4 months

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

2%

$42.3K Vol.

$56.9K Liq.

21

Ends in 8 months

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by...?

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by...?

30%

August 30

$43 Vol.

$714 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

33%

$6.5K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?

8%

$8.6K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

80%

Civilian Service Act

$13.0K Vol.

$32.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

85%

AaB Esport

$2.2K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

100%

LYON

$154K Vol.

Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs Donstu Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs Donstu Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Donstu Esports

$532 Vol.

Counter-Strike: Infinite vs AaB Esport (BO3) - United21 Group D

Counter-Strike: Infinite vs AaB Esport (BO3) - United21 Group D

100%

Infinite

$17.3K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

Wingman

$1.2K Vol.

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Glitchtech Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Glitchtech Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Glitchtech Esports

$242 Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs eLITenergy (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs eLITenergy (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series 1 Playoffs

66%

eLITenergy

$398 Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs

Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs

100%

RED Canids Academy

$2.9K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Deadline.

Polymarket currently hosts 122 active markets for Deadline that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 85% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Deadline predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.