This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is possible to go to the official Tesla website, https://www.tesla.com/, and complete an online purchase for any Tesla vehicle using Bitcoin, from the United States (without having to use a VPN), before January 1, 2022, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

In the upcoming Serie A soccer game between AS Roma and Inter Milan, scheduled for December 4:

If the goal difference is greater than 1, this market will resolve to “More”.

If the goal difference is lower than 1, this market will resolve to “Less”.

If the goal difference equals 1 or this game is not completed by December 11, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

---------------------

Please note, the goal difference is the absolute difference between goals counted for each of the teams at the end of the game.

For example, if the final score is 0:1, 2:1, 5:4... - then the goal difference equals 1;
if the final score is 3:1, 2:0, 5:3... - then the goal difference equals 2;
if there is a draw, the goal difference equals 0, etc.

This is a market on the acceptance of EIP-3756. This market will resolve “Yes” if at any point at or before December 31, 2021, 11:59:59 PM ET, the status of EIP-3756 is changed to Final, Last Call, or Living as shown in the Ethereum GitHub repository. If the status of the EIP is changed to Withdrawn at any point prior to the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No” at that time. In any other case, the market will resolve “No.” Any further changes to the status will not be considered.
If the resolution source is removed or unavailable, the most recent version of the document shown in the GitHub commit history will be used. If both the resolution source and the commit history are unavailable, they will be re-checked the next day at 12:00 PM ET, after which if they are still unavailable, the market will resolve “No.”

This is a scalar market on what the fully diluted market cap of Opensea’s token will be in USD 1 week after it begins being actively traded. The "fully diluted market cap" is determined by multiplying the price of the token by the total supply of tokens. The lower bound for this market is $1,000,000,000 and the upper bound is $7,000,000,000. The date by which the token is actively traded refers to the first date the token reaches over $10,000 in volume according to CoinGecko. The fully diluted market cap 1 week after this date, at 12:00 PM ET, will be used for this market’s resolution. For example, if the Opensea token began actively trading on a Tuesday (in ET), the fully diluted market cap of the token would be checked at 12:00 PM ET the following Tuesday in order to resolve this market. If the total supply is infinite, the circulating supply/non-diluted market cap will be used instead to resolve this market. If the CoinGecko website is unavailable at the time of this check, or relevant data is unavailable on CoinGecko, CoinMarketCap will be used instead. If both CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap are down, or relevant data is unavailable, then another credible source will be chosen.

If Opensea does not release a token by December 31, 2021, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to $4,000,000,000.

You can use the calculator to the right (underneath the Buy modal) to calculate how each Long or Short Token price corresponds with Opensea token’s fully diluted market cap value in USD. Long and Short shares will settle proportionally to the outcome value if the final value is between these bounds, but if the final value exceeds either the upper or lower bound, the price of each Outcome Token is capped at $1 and $0. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

This is a market on whether Andrew Cuomo will be governor of New York on January 1, 2022, 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, on the resolution date, Andrew Cuomo is the Governor of New York, as substantiated by official government sources like https://www.governor.ny.gov/. If, for any reason, Andrew Cuomo is not the sitting Governor of New York on that date, this market will resolve to “No.”  In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). 

In the upcoming NBA game between Los Angeles Clippers and Sacramento Kings, scheduled for December 4:

If the total sum of points scored is greater than 217.5, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the total sum of points scored is lower than 217.5, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the game is not completed by December 11, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

The World Chess Championship 2021 is an ongoing chess match between reigning world champion Magnus Carlsen and challenger Ian Nepomniachtchi to determine the World Chess Champion. 

The full match consists of 14 regular games, and a score of 7½ wins the world championship. If the score is equal after 14 games, tie-break games with faster time controls will be played. Any potential tie-break games will not be considered for this market, only the initial 14 games will be considered. 

After 14 regular games, all games that ended with a draw are counted. 
If there are more than 12 draws, this market will resolve to "More".
If there are exactly 12 draws, this market will resolve 50-50.
If there are less than 12 draws, this market will resolve to "Less".

------------------------------

WCC 2021 is held under the auspices of FIDE, the world chess federation, and played at Dubai Exhibition Centre, Dubai, United Arab Emirates, between 24 November and 16 December 2021.

Please read more about the championship here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2021



This is a market on who will win the upcoming World Chess Championship 2021 to be held in Dubai, United Arab Emirates between November 24th 2021 and December 16th 2021. The defending Champion Magnus Carlsen is playing the Challenger Ian Nepomniachtchi. The match is 14 games and the first player to 7.5 points will be the Winner in this market. If after 14 games, the match is equal at 7.0 points to each player, then the winner of the tiebreaks will be the Winner in this market. If the event is canceled both positions will pay out $0.50. If either player withdraws for any reason, the replacement will take the place of the player they are replacing in the market. For example: If Ian Nepomniachtchi withdraws and his replacement goes on to win the tournament, then this market will resolve $1.00 to Ian Nepomniachtchi. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

This is a market on who will be honoured Person of the Year by TIME magazine for the year 2021.

Person of the Year (called Man of the Year or Woman of the Year until 1999) is an annual issue of the United States news magazine and website 'Time' that features and profiles a person, a group, an idea, or an object that "for better or for worse... has done the most to influence the events of the year".

Time's Person of the Year 2021 is picked by the newspaper's editors and is scheduled to be announced on December 13, 2021.

The market will be settled using a good faith interpretation of the winner. 
If, for example, Joe Biden is honoured together with Kamala Harris, this market will resolve to "Joe Biden". If the group honoured is named "Doctors & Nurses" or "First responders & Essential workers", this market will resolve to "Healthcare workers". If "Epidemiologists" win, the market will resolve to "Other." 

If multiple categories win, e.g. WHO and Healthcare Workers, then the market will resolve equally among those outcomes. 

----------------------------

Those were the last 10 Persons of the Year:

2020 - Joe Biden, Kamala Harris
2019 - Greta Thunberg
2018 - The Guardians and the War on Truth
2017 - The Silence Breakers
2016 - Donald Trump
2015 - Angela Merkel
2014 - The Ebola Fighters
2013 - Pope Francis
2012 - President of the United States
2011 - The Protester

Read more about Person of the Year: https://time.com/poy

Take part in Time's poll "Who should be 2021 Person of the Year?": https://time.com/person-of-the-year-reader-poll-2021/

This is a market on whether the final sale price for Sequoia Capital’s “Sequoia Capital YouTube Memo”, currently on sale on OpenSea, will be above 100 ETH. 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sale price is greater than 100.00 ETH, and “No” otherwise. The auction is scheduled to end on December 7. In the event the auction is postponed, resolution of this market will be delayed accordingly. If the sale isn’t finalized by December 21 at 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.  

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 5:

If the Miami Dolphins win by over 6.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the New York Giants lose by less than 6.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

This is a market about whether California or Florida will have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average for the day of December 24, 2021. 

This market will resolve to “California” if the 7-day COVID-19 case average for California for December 24 is higher than in Florida. 
This market will resolve to “Florida” if the 7-day COVID-19 case average for December 24 is higher in Florida than in California. 
If the 7-day COVID-19 case averages are equal, the market will resolve to 50/50.  

The resolution source for this market will be https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases, the CDC's official count of Coronavirus cases. 

The data resolution source will be checked on January 1, 2022 at 8 PM ET in order to resolve this market. If the resolution source is unavailable for any reason at the designated time, or data for the day of December 24 is unavailable, it will be checked once every 24 hours for one week, after which the market will resolve based on another credible source if data is still unavailable. 

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if the accumulation of new snow observed ("New snow") on December 24th 2021 by the National Weather Service in Central Park Area, NY, is 0.1 inches or higher, and "No" otherwise.

The resolution source for this market is NOAA Online Weather Data, published by National Weather Service on their website: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx.

The check will be at 12:00 PM ET December 25. 

Please note, if "T" appears as the daily snowfall measurement, it means that on that day snow continually melts as it lands and is recorded as a trace (T). If that occurs for December 24 in Central Park, NY - then this market resolves to "No".

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 5:

If the San Francisco 49ers win by over 3.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the Seattle Seahawks lose by less than 3.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the Eurostat (HICP), from November 2020 to November 2021.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union annual inflation in November 2021 is 5.2 percent or more and "No" otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-euro-indicators.

The next release of HICP inflation rate with full data for November 2021 is scheduled for 17 December 2021.

-----------------------------------

Note, that this market is about the inflation for all European Union Member States, not only the Euro zone (states using €).

Inflation dashboard for the Euro zone can be viewed here: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/macroeconomic_and_sectoral/hicp/html/index.en.html

In response to trader inquiry: The threshold of 251,882 in the original rules, as determined by the record high at the time of this market's inception, will continue to be used for this market’s resolution. Note however that the record high has been updated from 251,882 to 254,052, given a retroactive data update from the CDC, and may continue to be updated.

This is a market on whether the United States will report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022. The market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States reports a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average on or after the date of this market’s inception, July 20, 2021, and on or before December 31, 2021. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” At the time of this market’s inception, the record high 7-day COVID-19 case average in the United States was 251,882. Thus, if the US reaches a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 251,883 or more on or after July 20, 2021 and before January 1, 2022, this market would resolve to “Yes.” 

This market will resolve on data from the CDC's Data Tracker, specifically, the 7-day moving average of COVID-19 cases for the United States, which is available at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases (navigate to "Select a state or territory" and select “United States”, and then scroll to "Data Table for Daily Case Trends" and view the data in the "7-Day Moving Avg" column, which is able to be sorted in descending order). The resolution source will be reviewed once daily at 8 PM ET, to see if the United States reported a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average. The market will resolve immediately if the criteria for “Yes” are met. The final check will be on January 8, 2022, 8 PM ET, checking the 7-day average on all days from the creation of this market to December 31, 2021. If the website is down or data is unavailable during the final check, the market will resolve based on the most recent previous check that had data available. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).


This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2021, 11:59:59 PM ET, Paxlovid (also known under PF-07321332), or any product containing PF-07321332 receives an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) or full approval from the FDA for treating COVID-19. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If the resolution source isn’t updated by the resolution date, credible news reports may be used instead.

Learn more about Paxlovid: https://apnews.com/article/coronavirus-pandemic-science-business-health-medication-eeea3c6a5f6428479e35bc1bcd7aec52.

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 5:

If the Baltimore Ravens win by over 6.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the Pittsburgh Steelers lose by less than 6.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 5:

If the New Orleans Pelicans win by over 3.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the Houston Rockets lose by less than 3.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

This is a market on whether Lewis Hamilton will finish ahead of Max Verstappen in the Formula 1 STC Saudi Arabian Grand Prix 2021, scheduled to take place on December 5, 2021. 

The market will resolve to “Yes” If Lewis Hamilton finishes ahead of Max Verstappen, and “No” otherwise. 

If for any reason the Saudi Arabian Grand Prix is rescheduled to a date on or before December 31, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. 

If the Saudi Arabian Grand Prix is rescheduled to a date after December 31, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50. 

- If Lewis Hamilton finishes the race but Max Verstappen does not, or does not compete at all, the market will resolve to “Yes.” 
- If Max Verstappen finishes the race but Lewis Hamilton does not, or does not compete at all, the market will resolve to “No.” 
- If neither Lewis Hamilton nor Max Verstappen finish the race, then the market will resolve to 50-50. 

This is a market on if OpenSea will have a live token by December 31, 2021, 11:59:59 PM ET. Having a live token in this context can be defined as a deployed-to-mainnet, actively transferrable and/or tradable token that is in some way native to the application, and substantiated by the respective project via website or social media channels. Empirically speaking, having a live token will be considered fulfilled if official project channels announce the introduction of the token and it is live on mainnet, and swappable and acquirable (i.e. via Uniswap). In the case of a token being announced but not yet transferrable or “live”, that will not satisfy market conditions. If the token is deployed to mainnet (in any form, including some sort of voucher), but is not transferrable, that will also not satisfy market conditions. In the case of ERC20 tokens, if the token is deployed, but there is no existing Uniswap pool for the token, it will be considered not “live” and thus will not satisfy market conditions. For clarity, this market is about fungible tokens, and not NFTs related to a platform. If OpenSea has a live token by December 31, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". If the resolution date is reached and none of the projects have a token, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of ambiguity, the market will be resolved in good faith by the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

This is a market on whether the U.S. Senate will pass the Build Back Better Act (H.R.5376) before December 24, 2021, 11:59:59 pm ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if H.R.5376 has “Passed Senate” before the resolution date, on the resolution source https://www.congress.gov/bill/117th-congress/house-bill/5376. Credible news reports which state that the bill has passed the senate and that the vote is complete will also sufficient. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

Note, that the vote on this act must be finalized and closed ("gaveled") before midnight. Any ongoing vote that is not yet closed will be a "No" expiration.

---------------
This bill has passed the House on November 19th 2021 and is commonly referred to as the Build Back Better Act.

According to Congressional Research Service, this bill provides funding, establishes programs, and otherwise modifies provisions relating to a broad array of areas, including education, labor, child care, health care, taxes, immigration, and the environment. 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Wolf Game World (WOOL) has a candlestick closing price of $0.100001 or more, as per resolution source, on December 7th 2021, 12 PM ET, and “No” otherwise. 

The resolution source for this market will be prices listed on CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/wolf-game-wool). 

This market will resolve on the “C” (i.e. closing price) listed for the candle titled “Tue 7 December 2021, 12:00:00”, with the “Price” tab selected, in the Eastern Time Zone. Note, this 12:00:00 candle lists the opening price for 11:30:00 PM ET and the closing price for 12:00:00 PM ET. 

The check will be at 12:30 PM ET December 7, 2021. 

This is a market on whether Gavin Newsom will be the Governor of California on December 31, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, the resolution date. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, on the resolution date, Gavin Newsom is the Governor of the state of California as substantiated by official government sources (e.g. https://www.gov.ca.gov/). If, for any reason, Gavin Newsom is not the sitting Governor of California on or before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “No”.  In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for December 5:

If the Tampa Bay Lightning win by over 1.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the Philadelphia Flyers lose by less than 1.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

This is a market on whether Clubhouse will announce they've been acquired in 2021. The market will resolve to “Yes” if Clubhouse officially announces they’ve been acquired before January 1, 2022, 12:00:00 AM ET, and “No” otherwise. The phrase “announce they’ve been acquired” means the official announcement and public reporting of an acquisition, with a for-profit company purchasing majority ownership of Clubhouse and/or the respective entity. Note that this market pertains to the announcement—if Clubhouse announces they’ve been acquired in 2021, but the acquisition is finalized in 2022, the market will still resolve to “Yes.” In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitcoin ($BTC) has a candlestick closing price of $60,000.01 or more, as per resolution source, on December 7, 2021, 12pm ET, and “No” otherwise. 

The resolution source for this market will be prices listed on CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin). 

This market will resolve on the “C” (i.e. closing price) listed for the candle titled “Tue 7 December 2021, 12:00:00”, with the “Price” tab selected, in the Eastern Time Zone. Note, this 12:00:00 candle lists the opening price for 11:30:00 PM ET and the closing price for 12:00:00 PM ET. 

The check will be at 12:30 PM ET, on the resolution date.

This is a market on a month-to-month inflation, as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI-U), from October to November 2021.

The inflation is measured by a change in Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) on a seasonally adjusted basis, reported by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the index increased by 0.8 percent or more (i.e. eighty-hundredths of 1%) from October 2021 to November 2021 and "No" otherwise.

The resolution source for this market will be the BLS November 2021 Consumer Price Index report (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled for release on December 10, 2021, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. 

-------------------------
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.

Note that the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports seasonally-adjusted month-to-month inflation to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.6%, 0.5%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if seasonally adjusted month-to-month CPI-U is 0.7%, the market will resolve to “No”, if it is 0.8%, this market will resolve to “Yes”).

This is a market on the Market Cap comparison of two cryptocurrencies: Cardano ($ADA) and Solana ($SOL) for the resolution date and time of December 9, 2021, at 8:00 PM ET. 

The resolution source for this market will be market cap ranking on CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en). 

If, according to the resolution source, $ADA has a greater market cap than $SOL on the resolution date,  this market will resolve to “Cardano”. If $SOL has a greater market cap than $ADA on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Solana”. If the estimated market cap for the resolution date is exactly the same for both cryptocurrencies, this market will resolve 50/50.

If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable at the resolution time, another credible source will be checked such as CoinMarketCap. In the event of an ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, historical market caps of each coin will be used (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cardano, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana), precisely the first recorded measurement after 8:00 PM.
--------------
Market Cap = Current Price x Circulating Supply

Refers to the total market value of a cryptocurrency’s circulating supply.

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 5:

If the Indianapolis Colts win by over 10.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the Houston Texans lose by less than 10.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

This is a market on whether atmospheric CO2 will be above 416.00 parts per million (ppm) for the date of December 24, 2021 as measured by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Mauna Loa observatory (https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/monthly.html). 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the daily average atmospheric CO2 is greater than 416.00 ppm for December 24, 2021 and “No” otherwise. 

This market will resolve when data for the date of December 24, 2021 is first published on the resolution source, i.e. in the green information box on https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/monthly.html, which appears under the “Recent Daily Average Mauna Loa CO2” heading. 

If data is not available for the date of December 24, 2021, by December 31, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

---------------------

Warning: It may be possible to infer Daily CO2 emissions using data available elsewhere on the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Mauna Loa observatory website (here: https://gml.noaa.gov/dv/data/ & https://gml.noaa.gov/dv/iadv/) up to 24 hours before they are published to the main resolution source. Trade at your own risk within the last 24 hours of the market.

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 5:

If the Atlanta Hawks win by over 6.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the Charlotte Hornets lose by less than 6.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of Ethereum (ETH) reaches $5000.00 as per Coingecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum, 'high' price) before December 31 2021, 11:59:59 PM ET, and “No” otherwise. 

This is a market on whether a real picture of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing each other appears on the Internet on or before December 7th 2021, 11:59:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the credible news sources publish a real picture or footage with a clear mouth-to-mouth kiss between Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson on or before the resolution time, and "No" otherwise.

If they have kissed prior to November 10, but the picture or footage surfaces before the market resolution time, the market will still resolve to "Yes."

The Staged kiss for The Saturday Night Live from October does not count.

The resolution source for this market will be any credible news report or social media profiles of the aforementioned celebrities.

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if the accumulation of new snow observed ("New snow") on December 31st 2021 by the National Weather Service in Central Park Area, NY, is 0.1 inches or higher, and "No" otherwise.

The resolution source for this market is NOAA Online Weather Data, published by National Weather Service on their website: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx.

The check will be at 12:00 PM ET January 1, 2022. 

Please note, if "T" appears as the daily snowfall measurement, it means that on that day snow continually melts as it lands and is recorded as a trace (T). If that occurs for December 31, 2021 in Central Park, NY - then this market resolves to "No".

This is a market on whether Joe Biden's disapproval rating will be 51.5% or higher for the day of December 12, 2021. 

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the orange trend line for the date of December 12, 2021. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the (dis)approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. 

The resolution date for this market will be on December 13, 2021 at 12:00 PM ET according to data published for the day of December 12. If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by December 19, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50. 

If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the most recent available approval rating.

The World Chess Championship 2021 is an ongoing chess match between reigning world champion Magnus Carlsen and challenger Ian Nepomniachtchi to determine the World Chess Champion. 

The full regular match consists of 14 games, played from November 24 to December 14, and a score of 7½ wins the world championship.

If the score is equal after 14 games, tie-break games with faster time controls will be played and this market will resolve to "Yes".

If tie-breaks do not occur, this market will resolve "No".

------------------------------

WCC 2021 is held under the auspices of FIDE, the world chess federation, and played at Dubai Exhibition Centre, Dubai, United Arab Emirates, between 24 November and 16 December 2021.

Please read more about the championship here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2021

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Las Vegas Raiders' player Derek Carr is the player with the most Passing Yards in the 2021 NFL season on the resolution time, December 25, 12PM ET.

The resolution source is the official statistics of National Football League (https://www.nfl.com/stats/player-stats/).

If the data is not available on the resolution time, another credible source will be used.

If Derek Carr ties with another player for most passing yards, this market will still resolve "Yes."

This is a market on if the CDC will denote variant B.1.1.529 (“Omicron”) under the heading Variant of High Consequence (VOHC) on its website before January 1, 2022, 12:00:01 AM ET. 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the resolution source shows B.1.1.529, "Omicron" or any label which references the Omicron variant in the VOHC category at any point before the resolution date, and “No” otherwise.    

The resolution for this market is https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/variant-info.html which at the time of this market's inception states "Currently, there are no SARS-CoV-2 variants that rise to the level of high consequence."

Other CDC links may be used if the aforementioned link changes.

This is a market on whether Poland or the United Kingdom will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on December 24, 2021.

This market will resolve on data aggregated by Our World in Data, specifically, the 7-day rolling average of COVID-19 cases for Poland and the United Kingdom, with Metric "Confirmed Cases", Interval "7-day rolling average", and the Relative to Population checkbox checked, which is available at https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer.

The resolution source will be reviewed on December 25th at 11 PM ET and - if the data for December 24 will not be available then - checked again every 12 hours, until the final check on December 30, 11 PM ET. 
If the data is not available by then, this market will resolve based on other credible sources for the day of December 24. 

If Poland has a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita for the day of December 24, 2021, the market will resolve to "Poland." If the United Kingdom has a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita for the day of December 24, 2021, the market will resolve to "United Kingdom." If the averages per capita are the same, the market will resolve 50/50.
--------------------

OWiD dataset uses the most recent official numbers from governments and health ministries worldwide. Population estimates for per-capita metrics are based on the United Nations World Population Prospects. 

Here: https://github.com/owid/covid-19-data/tree/master/public/data one can find a detailed list of all our country-specific sources.

This is a market on whether there will be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 (Richter scale) or higher in the Conterminous U.S. between the market conception time, November 29th, 2021, 12:00 PM ET and December 31st, 2021 (11:59 PM ET), as measured by the U.S. Geological Survey. 

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if the list of recorded seismic activity at the resolution source (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/) for that period will include at least one earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher with its epicentre in the Conterminous U.S. and “No” otherwise.

------------------------------
The term 'Conterminous U.S.' used in this market refers to 48 lower states of The United States, excluding the maritime territory.

In the upcoming NBA game between Toronto Raptors and Washington Wizards, scheduled for December 5:

If the total sum of points scored is an even number (ie. score is 120-118, 97-133, 117-115...), this market will resolve to “Even”.

If the total sum of points scored is an odd number (ie. score is 120-119, 97-132, 114-115...), this market will resolve to “Odd”.

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

This is a market on whether Tim Tebow will score a touchdown in the 2021-22 NFL season. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Tebow scores a touchdown during the 2021-22 NFL season (inclusive of the playoffs and the Super Bowl), and “No” otherwise. This market will resolve according to Tim Tebow’s official statistics for the 2021-22 season (https://www.nfl.com/players/tim-tebow/stats/career) or at the definite conclusion of his availability to play for an NFL team. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 5:

If the Toronto Raptors win by over 1.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the Washington Wizards lose by less than 1.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

This is a market on if Donald Trump will be President of the United States on December 31, 2021, 11:59 PM ET. 

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, on the resolution date, Donald Trump is the current President of the United States, officially substantiated by official US government sources, like the links provided as the resolution source. 

If, for any reason, Donald Trump is not the sitting President of the United States on that date, this market will resolve to “No". 

The resolution sources are: 
1. https://www.loc.gov/rr/print/list/057_chron.html, 
2. https://history.house.gov/Institution/Presidents-Coinciding/Presidents-Coinciding/ 
and 3. https://www.whitehouse.gov/. 
 
If any of these 3 sources list Donald Trump officially as the current sitting president on the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." 


This is the market on the relative change (%) of the USD prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum in the month of December 2021.

The change of prices will be calculated by dividing the price dated 1 January 2022 (ET) by the price dated 1 December 2021, ie:

ΔB =  [BTC/USD price on January 1, 2022] /  [BTC/USD price on December 1, 2021]

ΔE =  [ETH/USD price on January 1, 2022]  / [ETH/USD price on December 1, 2021]
 
If, after the resolution time (January 1st, 2022), ΔB is greater than ΔE, this market will resolve to "Bitcoin".

If, after the resolution time (January 1st, 2022), ΔE is greater than ΔB, this market will resolve to "Ethereum".

If they are exactly equal then the market will resolve 50/50.

----------------------
To resolve the market, Coingecko's historical daily prices will be used and can be seen under "Historical Data" tab on the following sites:
https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin/historical_data/usd#panel
https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum/historical_data/usd#panel )

This market will resolve on the December 31 2021 Close price, which will be the same as January 1 2022 Open price. 

Note also, that the daily open price refers to 30-min candlestick open price at 12 AM in the UTC+0 Time Zone and is also used in the "1y" line chart view.
----------------------

The opening prices for December 1st were:
Bitcoin: $57,011
Ethereum: $4,637.12

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is possible to go to the official Amazon website, https://www.amazon.com/, and complete an online purchase for an item listed on the site using Bitcoin, from the United States (without having to use a VPN), before January 1, 2022, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

This is a market on whether 248.0 million people in The United States of America will have initiated vaccination, according to the CDC COVID tracker, by the resolution date, January 1, 2022, 8:00 PM ET. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 248.0 million people or more are listed as having received their initial dose of vaccination by the resolution source. This only concerns the first dose of vaccination. For vaccines requiring two doses for inoculation, this market considers only the first dose as having initiated vaccination. 
This market will resolve to "No" if, for any reason, fewer than 248.0 million people have initiated vaccination by the resolution date. 

The resolution source for this market will be the official data published by the CDC available at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations, and will be checked at the resolution time. 

If the website is down, the most recently available data will be used to resolve the market. If the website is not down, this market will resolve according to the data as available immediately at the time of resolution, and resolution will not be delayed for the purpose of waiting for updated data from a specific date. 

This is a market on whether EIP-3675 will be implemented on Ethereum prior to the resolution date, February 22, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the EIP-3675 is implemented prior to the resolution date, and "No" otherwise. Being implemented on a testnet will not suffice for this market to resolve to "Yes." EIP-3675 must be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet. Only EIP-3675 will be considered for this market. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC). 

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for December 4:

If the Golden State Warriors win by over 9.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the San Antonio Spurs lose by less than 9.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 11, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 5:

If the Los Angeles Rams win by over 15.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the Jacksonville Jaguars lose by less than 15.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

This is a market on whether "Dune" or "Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings" finishes with a higher domestic box office gross through December 19, 2021. Dune is currently slated for release on October 22, 2021 in the United States, and Shang-Chi is currently slated for release on September 3, 2021. The domestic box office of the respective films will be checked on December 21, 2021, 12:00 PM ET at https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3162015233/ for Dune and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3490022913/ for Shang-Chi. If these sources are unavailable, other credible sources for box office data will be used. If Dune passes Shang-Chi in box office on any day prior to December 19, 2021, this market will immediately resolve to “Dune.” If either movie is delayed beyond December 19, 2021, this market will resolve immediately to the film that has NOT been delayed. Any reported streaming revenues will not be included in this market. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

This is a market on whether the United States will report a 7-day average of COVID-19 cases for the date of December 17th that is higher than the 7-day average of COVID-19 cases reported for the date of December 10th. This market will resolve on data from the CDC's Data Tracker, specifically, the 7-day moving average of COVID-19 cases for the United States, which is available at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases (navigate to "Select a state or territory" and select “United States”, and then scroll to "Data Table for Daily Case Trends" and view the data in the "7-Day Moving Avg" column, which is able to be sorted in descending order). 

The resolution source will be reviewed at 8 PM ET on December 24th to check the 7-day average for both the dates of December 17th and December 10th.  

If the 7-day average for December 17th exceeds that of December 10th at this check, "Yes" will win.  
Otherwise, "No" will win.  

If the resolution source is unavailable at that time, the resolution source will be checked again at 8pm the following and each subsequent day until it is available.

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 5:

If the Arizona Cardinals win by over 6.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the Chicago Bears lose by less than 6.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

The 2021 Speed Chess Championship is a multi-event series featuring top players competing in fast-paced games for a piece of the $232,000 prize fund. The event started on March 31 with the Bullet Chess Championship, followed by the Junior Speed Chess Championship, Grand Prix, Super Swiss, and ending with the Main Event on December 19.

The Main Event of the 2021 Speed Chess Championship unites 12 invited players with four others who qualified from the other events. The main event starts on November 12 and ends on December 19.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hikaru Nakamura places 1st and is the winner of the 2021 SCC Main Event. 

If he finishes in any lower place, drops out of the tournament or the tournament is cancelled, this market will resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, the tournament is not completed and the winner is not announced by January 1, 2022, this market will resolve 50-50.

This is a market on whether Kamala Harris will cast 15 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021. 

The market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris casts 15 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021, and “No” otherwise. 

Tie-breaking votes will be considered if they are cast on or before 11:59 PM ET, December 31, 2021. 

The resolution source will be https://www.senate.gov/legislative/TieVotes.htm. 

If the link changes or becomes unavailable, or is not updated with the most recent tie-breaking votes cast by the resolution time, another credible source will be chosen.

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 5:

If the Minnesota Vikings win by over 7.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the Detroit Lions lose by less than 7.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

This is a scalar market on what the fully diluted market cap of Foundation’s token will be in USD 1 week after it begins being actively traded. The "fully diluted market cap" is determined by multiplying the price of the token by the total supply of tokens. The lower bound for this market is $250,000,000 and the upper bound is $3,000,000,000. The date by which the token is actively traded refers to the first date the token reaches over $10,000 in volume according to CoinGecko. The fully diluted market cap 1 week after this date, at 12:00 PM ET, will be used for this market’s resolution. For example, if the Foundation token began actively trading on a Tuesday (in ET), the fully diluted market cap of the token would be checked at 12:00 PM ET the following Tuesday in order to resolve this market. If the total supply is infinite, the circulating supply/non-diluted market cap will be used instead to resolve this market. If the CoinGecko website is unavailable at the time of this check, or relevant data is unavailable on CoinGecko, CoinMarketCap will be used instead. If both CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap are down, or relevant data is unavailable, then another credible source will be chosen.

If Foundation does not release a token by December 31, 2021, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to $1,625,000,000, which is in between the lower and upper bounds of the market. 

You can use the calculator to the right (underneath the Buy modal) to calculate how each Long or Short Token price corresponds with Foundation token’s fully diluted market cap value in USD. Long and Short shares will settle proportionally to the outcome value if the final value is between these bounds, but if the final value exceeds either the upper or lower bound, the price of each Outcome Token is capped at $1 and $0. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

This is a market on whether Elizabeth A. Holmes, a former Theranos executive, will be found guilty of wire fraud or conspiracy to commit wire fraud (in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 1343) in her trial, linked in the resolution source below. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Holmes is found guilty of at least one of the aforementioned charges, and “No” otherwise. Note, Holmes needs to only be found guilty of a single count of either charge for this market to resolve to "Yes." This market will resolve once the trial is finished. Any subsequent appeal will have no effect on the market resolution. 

This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "SN20", by December 31st, 2021. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad in Boca Chica, TX, and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by December 31st, 2021, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "SN20" with another vehicle (i.e. "SN21", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

This is a scalar market on what the fully diluted market cap of Zora’s token will be in USD 1 week after it begins being actively traded. The "fully diluted market cap" is determined by multiplying the price of the token by the total supply of tokens. The lower bound for this market is $250,000,000 and the upper bound is $3,000,000,000. The date by which the token is actively traded refers to the first date the token reaches over $10,000 in volume according to CoinGecko. The fully diluted market cap 1 week after this date, at 12:00 PM ET, will be used for this market’s resolution. For example, if the Zora token began actively trading on a Tuesday (in ET), the fully diluted market cap of the token would be checked at 12:00 PM ET the following Tuesday in order to resolve this market. If the total supply is infinite, the circulating supply/non-diluted market cap will be used instead to resolve this market. If the CoinGecko website is unavailable at the time of this check, or relevant data is unavailable on CoinGecko, CoinMarketCap will be used instead. If both CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap are down, or relevant data is unavailable, then another credible source will be chosen.

If Zora does not release a token by December 31, 2021, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to $1,625,000,000, which is in between the lower and upper bounds of the market. 

You can use the calculator to the right (underneath the Buy modal) to calculate how each Long or Short Token price corresponds with Zora token’s fully diluted market cap value in USD. Long and Short shares will settle proportionally to the outcome value if the final value is between these bounds, but if the final value exceeds either the upper or lower bound, the price of each Outcome Token is capped at $1 and $0. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

This is a market on whether Kevin Paffrath will be the Governor of California on December 31, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, the resolution date. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, on the resolution date, Kevin Paffrath is the Governor of the state of California as substantiated by official government sources (e.g. https://www.gov.ca.gov/). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 5:

If the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win by over 12.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the Atlanta Falcons lose by less than 12.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

This is a market on whether Ethereum ($ETH) will have a market cap higher than $520 billion on the resolution time of December 9, 2021, 11:59 AM ET. 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ethereum ($ETH) has a market cap larger than 520,000,000,000.00 dollars on the resolution time, and “No” otherwise. 

The resolution source for this market will be the market cap on Coinmarketcap’s listing for Ethereum ($ETH), https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/ethereum/, on the right hand side next to 'Market Cap.'

--------------------

Market Cap is the total market value of a cryptocurrency's circulating supply. It is analogous to the free-float capitalization in the stock market.

Market Cap = Current Price x Circulating Supply.

This is a market on whether Coinbase’s NFT platform launches prior to December 31, 2021, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the platform is launched prior to the resolution date, and “No” otherwise. “Launch” for the purposes of this market requires that the general public in the United States (the majority of Americans) is able to do one of the following: mint, buy, or sell NFTs from within the Coinbase platform. A closed or private beta will not count, though a public beta will. If such a platform is temporarily inaccessible due to maintenance, system overload, or DDOS attack, resolution of this market will be delayed up to 72 hours. 

 

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 5:

If the Las Vegas Raiders win by over 1.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the Washington Football Team lose by less than 1.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

This is a market on whether Armin Laschet, leader of the CDU party, will win an upcoming German chancellor’s election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Armin Laschet is the next elected chancellor, and “No” otherwise. The 2021 German federal election is expected to be held on September 26, 2021, after which either a chancellor may be elected and appointed, or a new federal election will be held and the process will repeat. This market will resolve only when there is a successful chancellor’s election, meaning once a chancellor has been both elected by the Bundestag and appointed by the president. For instance, if the first round of elections is inconclusive and Merkel remains chancellor in the meantime, and the second round is won by Laschet, this market will resolve as "Yes." This market will resolve according to the German government’s website (https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-en/chancellor) and the United Nations' Protocol and Liaison Service (protocol.un.org/dgacm/pls/site.nsf/HSHGNFA.xsp). In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

This is a market on whether the Hellbound, a South Korean dark fantasy streaming television series, will hold the number one spot on Netflix’s weekly Top Shows worldwide ranking on Week 49 of 2021, which lasts from November 29 to December 5, inclusive. 

The resolution source will be the official statistic portal of Netflix (https://top10.netflix.com/), which ranks the most-watched films and TV shows across their streaming platform. 

The resolution source will be checked at 8:00 pm ET on December 6th, under "Global Top 10 from November 29 - December 5, 2021" (https://top10.netflix.com/tv-non-english/2021-12-05). Both "TV (English)" and "TV (Non-English)" top lists will be checked, and the number of hours viewed for each of the titles will be compared.

If "Hellbound: Season 1" is ranked #1 for the Week 49 in terms of hours viewed including TV (English) and TV (Non-English), this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." 

If the resolution source is unavailable at the resolution time, it will be checked every 12 hours until the data is available, and the most recent data will be used to resolve the market. 
After a week, if the data is still unavailable, this market resolves 50/50.

This is a market on whether Black Widow will be the highest grossing domestic (U.S.) film of 2021. The resolution source for this market is https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2021/?ref_=bo_yl_table_1. To resolve the market, the source will be checked on December 31, 2021 at 11:59:59 PM ET. Should the resolution source not be available for any reason on the resolution date, the source will be checked every day at 11:59:59 PM ET until January 8, 2022, after which, if the market is still unresolvable, another credible source will be chosen by the MIC. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

This is a market on whether more than 2.5 million people will travel through a TSA checkpoint on any single day on or after August 13, 2021 and on or before December 31, 2021. The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput. Should this URL change or move locations, the MIC will use its best judgement to pick a new URL on the tsa.gov domain. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 2.5 million for any day on or after August 13, 2021 and on or before December 31, 2021. This market will resolve to “No” otherwise. 

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of December 31, 2021 or on any date before that if the target is reached. If the target has not been reached and if data is not available for any of the days from August 13, 2021 to December 31, 2021 by January 7, 2022 the market will resolve to 50-50.  Any revisions published to data for dates August 13, 2021 and onward prior to the release of data for December 31, 2021 will be considered. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for December 5:

If the Toronto Maple Leafs win by over 1.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the Winnipeg Jets lose by less than 1.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for December 5:

If the New York Islanders win by over 1.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the Chicago Blackhawks lose by less than 1.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 5:

If the Philadelphia Eagles win by over 6.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the New York Jets lose by less than 6.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

This is a market on whether Valtteri Bottas will finish ahead of Sergio Perez in the Formula 1 STC Saudi Arabian Grand Prix 2021, scheduled to take place on December 5, 2021. 

The market will resolve to “Yes” If Valtteri Bottas finishes ahead of Sergio Perez, and “No” otherwise. 

If for any reason the Saudi Arabian Grand Prix is rescheduled to a date on or before December 31, 2021, the same market conditions will apply. 

If the Saudi Arabian Grand Prix is rescheduled to a date after December 31, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50. 

- If Valtteri Bottas finishes the race but Sergio Perez does not, or does not compete at all, the market will resolve to “Yes.” 
- If Sergio Perez finishes the race but Valtteri Bottas does not, or does not compete at all, the market will resolve to “No.” 
- If neither Valtteri Bottas nor Sergio Perez finish the race, then the market will resolve to 50-50. 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crypto.com Coin (CRO) has a candlestick closing price of $0.800001 or more, as per resolution source, on January 1, 2022, 12pm ET, and “No” otherwise. 

The resolution source for this market will be prices listed on CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/crypto-com-coin). 

This market will resolve on the “C” (i.e. closing price) listed for the candle titled “Sat 1 January 2022, 12:00:00”, with the “Price” tab selected, in the Eastern Time Zone. Note, this 12:00:00 candle lists the opening price for 11:30:00 PM ET and the closing price for 12:00:00 PM ET. 

The check will be at 12:30 PM ET, on the resolution date. If the resolution source is unavailable at the resolution time, another credible source will be chosen. 

This is a market on if the venture capital firm Founders Fund will be listed as an investor in OnlyFans' next announced fundraising round in 2021. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Founders Fund is listed as an investor in OnlyFans' next announced funding round according to either Crunchbase, Bloomberg, or a direct post from an official OnlyFans or Founders Fund channel before January 1st, 2022, 12:00:00 AM ET. If a new official OnlyFans fundraising round is announced and Founders Fund isn't publicly identified as an investor in the round, the market will resolve to "No". If no new fundraising round for OnlyFans is announced in one of the aforementioned publications by the end of 2021, the market will resolve to "No". In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).


The acceptance of capital investment from a legacy venture capital firm is likely indicative of an incoming purge of NSFW sex-related content on Onlyfans. If you're a sex worker relying on Onlyfans as your primary source of income, use this market as insight into the likelihood of your income stream being threatened, and to hedge against that risk.


Onlyfans sex worker?

If typical VC investment flows into Onlyfans, it may suggest a wider trend of progressive acceptance for institutional capital to invest in sex-tech related startups, which would be lucrative for the industry. Use this market to gauge the likelihood that happens

Sex-tech entrepreneur? 

In sports, a Scorigami is a scoring combination that has never happened before in a sport or league's history. 

In NFL's history, there have been 1070 unique scores. 

The most recent (as of November 29) Scorigami for an NFL game occurred on November 21, 2021, when the Indianapolis Colts defeated the Buffalo Bills by a score of 41–15.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one more NFL Scorigami will occur between December 1, 12:00:01 AM ET, and before the market resolution time, December 31, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is an official NFL website (https://www.nfl.com/scores/), however other sites tracking Scorigamis will be helpful (https://nflscorigami.com/, https://twitter.com/NFL_Scorigami)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is the 2024 Republican presidential nominee, and “No” otherwise. This resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including gop.gov. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

This is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on January 6, 2022, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, on the resolution date, Joe Biden is the current President of the United States, officially substantiated by official US government sources, like the links provided as the resolution source. If, for any reason, Joe Biden is not the sitting President of the United States on that date, this market will resolve to “No". The resolution sources are: 1. https://www.loc.gov/rr/print/list/057_chron.html, 2. https://history.house.gov/Institution/Presidents-Coinciding/Presidents-Coinciding/ and 3. https://www.whitehouse.gov/. 
 
If any of these 3 sources list Joe Biden officially as the current sitting president on the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."  

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3 or more papers which were published in academic journals (e.g. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Psychological Science) and on which Dan Ariely, the psychology professor and New York Times best-selling author, is listed as an author, are formally retracted by the journal in which they were published, and these retractions occur on or after August 17, 2021 (i.e. any old retractions will not count) and on or before December 31, 2021. Note: only full article retractions will count toward the total number of retractions. Corrections and partial retractions will not be counted. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

For the past 10 years, psychology has been undergoing a reckoning with sloppy research practices and outright fraud, e.g. https://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/28/science/many-social-science-findings-not-as-strong-as-claimed-study-says.html. Notable cases include Diederik Stapel, https://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/28/magazine/diederik-stapels-audacious-academic-fraud.html, a Dutch psychology professor who fabricated the data for dozens of research articles, ultimately resulting in 58 retractions, and Brian Wansink, who resigned from his position at Cornell, after a 2018 audit revealed he had committed scientific misconduct, ultimately resulting in 18 of his articles being retracted.

Is Dan Ariely, the 3x NYT best selling author and super star professor, the most recent and most high profile case of such research misconduct? A recent analysis of one his studies raises significant questions about whether the data was outright fabricated, https://datacolada.org/98. Will that paper and others be retracted? Is this just the beginning of a torrent of fraudulent studies authored by Ariely that will be uncovered in the coming weeks?

Is Dan Ariely another high profile case of research fraud?

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 5:

If the Cincinnati Bengals win by over 2.5 points, the market will resolve to “Yes”.

If the Los Angeles Chargers lose by less than 2.5 points or win, the market will resolve “No.” 

If the game is not completed by December 12, 2021, the market will resolve 50-50.

This is a market on the total USD value locked in "Decentralized Finance" on December 7, 2021.

If the Total Value Locked (USD) at December 7, 2021 12:00 PM ET is $105.000B or greater this market resolves to "Yes". Otherwise, this market resolves to "No".

The resolution source will be the TVL (USD) value calculated by Defi Pulse and in the box named "Total Value Locked (USD)", available here: http://defipulse.com. 

If the data in the box is unavailable at December 7, 2021, 12:00 PM ET - the resolution source will be checked 6 hours later, and so on until the data in the box in available.
If data in the box is not available by December 14, 12 PM ET, the chart value for December 7, 2021 will be used instead, and if that is not available as well, the market will resolve to 50/50. 


---------
Total value locked (TVL), in the context of cryptocurrency, represents the sum of all assets deposited in DeFi protocols earning rewards, interest, new coins and tokens, fixed income, etc. 

DeFi is an abbreviation of the phrase decentralized finance which generally refers to digital assets and financial smart contracts, protocols, and decentralized applications (DApps)

Resolution Source: http://defipulse.com

This is a market on whether CryptoPunks will maintain a price floor over 85 ETH on December 16, 2021, at 12:00 PM ET. 

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, on the aforementioned check time, there are no CryptoPunks (on https://www.larvalabs.com/cryptopunks/forsale#) listed for 85 ETH or lower, and 'No' otherwise. 

Only listings that have existed for at least an hour are valid for this market (as verified by the transaction hash time).

This will resolve to "Yes" if, according to the CDC, the share of the Omicron (B.1.1.529) variant has 1.0% or more proportion of SARS-CoV-2 circulating variants in the USA for the week ending on January 1, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The market will be resolved on the CDC's Nowcast model that estimates more recent proportions of circulating variants. The week bar which ends on January 1, 2022 will be clicked, and the % TOTAL column in the table which refers to the Omicron variant will used for the resolution of this market. If the data moves or changes, or the link changes, these new changes and/or link which delineate % TOTAL will be used. 

The market will resolve as soon as the CDC publishes the Nowcast estimates for the week ending January 1, 2022 - which is scheduled for January 4th. Data will be checked at 8:00 PM ET, January 4, 2022, and every day subsequently if data is not available. 

If data is not available for the week ending on January 1, 2022 by January 10, 2022, the market will resolve based on the most recent weekly data before January 1, 2022. 

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Please note, Nowcast does not predict future spread of the virus nor it provides exact current data, but it does help estimate current prevalence of variants, based on genomic surveillance data from previous weeks. Estimates of variant proportions for previous weeks may change as more data are reported. Nowcast estimates consistently align with the weighted proportions based on reported sequencing data, which are published 2-3 weeks later.

To identify and track SARS-CoV-2 variants, CDC uses genomic surveillance. 

The CDC provides weekly Nowcast estimates which are updated every week on Tuesday.
