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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$19m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
16%
$10m Vol.
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
100%
NEW
$350k Vol.
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?
1%
$294k Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
43%
$7m Vol.
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
January 31
8%
March 31
25%
$1m Vol.
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
11%
$2m Vol.
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
January 31, 2026
February 28, 2026
45%
$4m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
27%
$104k Vol.
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027
77%
US
6%
$283k Vol.
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
4%
54%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
24%
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
7%
February 28
38%
$303k Vol.
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by…?
9%
55%
$3m Vol.
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$135k Vol.
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
5%
$236k Vol.
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
$70k Vol.
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
$319k Vol.
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
$226k Vol.
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?
$189k Vol.
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