Trader consensus strongly implies no Trump-Putin summit by June 30 (82%), driven by the Kremlin’s recent denial of any planned meeting during Putin’s anticipated China visits this year, including speculation around May amid Trump’s own potential trip there. Lower-level diplomacy persists, as evidenced by Russian envoy Kirill Dmitriev’s early April meetings with Trump administration officials on Ukraine peace talks and economic ties, but no bilateral leader summit has been scheduled. Past 2025 encounters in Alaska and elsewhere provide precedent, yet ongoing U.S.-Russia frictions over NATO contributions, sanctions relief debates, and proxy conflicts keep China (7%) and sites like Russia or Turkey as low-probability venues absent fresh diplomatic breakthroughs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNessun incontro entro il 30 giugno 80.5%
Cina 7.0%
Russia 3.8%
Turchia 1.7%
$5,022,910 Vol.
$5,022,910 Vol.

Nessun incontro entro il 30 giugno
81%

Cina
7%

Russia
4%

Turchia
2%

Paese del Golfo
2%

Altro paese dell'UE
1%

Altro
1%

Stati Uniti
1%

Svizzera
1%

Bielorussia
<1%

Corea del Sud
<1%

Finlandia
<1%

Ucraina
<1%

Giappone
<1%

Australia
<1%
Nessun incontro entro il 30 giugno 80.5%
Cina 7.0%
Russia 3.8%
Turchia 1.7%
$5,022,910 Vol.
$5,022,910 Vol.

Nessun incontro entro il 30 giugno
81%

Cina
7%

Russia
4%

Turchia
2%

Paese del Golfo
2%

Altro paese dell'UE
1%

Altro
1%

Stati Uniti
1%

Svizzera
1%

Bielorussia
<1%

Corea del Sud
<1%

Finlandia
<1%

Ucraina
<1%

Giappone
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly implies no Trump-Putin summit by June 30 (82%), driven by the Kremlin’s recent denial of any planned meeting during Putin’s anticipated China visits this year, including speculation around May amid Trump’s own potential trip there. Lower-level diplomacy persists, as evidenced by Russian envoy Kirill Dmitriev’s early April meetings with Trump administration officials on Ukraine peace talks and economic ties, but no bilateral leader summit has been scheduled. Past 2025 encounters in Alaska and elsewhere provide precedent, yet ongoing U.S.-Russia frictions over NATO contributions, sanctions relief debates, and proxy conflicts keep China (7%) and sites like Russia or Turkey as low-probability venues absent fresh diplomatic breakthroughs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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