Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.4% for Alberta joining the US by December 31, 2026, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers requiring prior secession from Canada under the Clarity Act—demanding a clear referendum majority and federal negotiations, as affirmed in the 1998 Supreme Court Reference re Secession of Quebec. Recent separatist momentum, including Stay Free Alberta's claim of surpassing 177,732 signatures for an October 19 independence referendum, stalled April 10 when the Court of King's Bench granted First Nations a stay over treaty rights violations (Treaties 6-8), freezing verification pending constitutional review. Polls show ~28% support, far short of viability, with no Alberta government endorsement or US Congressional pathway for statehood. Realistic shifts would need court reversal, referendum passage, swift negotiations, and unprecedented US admission—highly improbable within the timeline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Alberta join the US?
Will Alberta join the US?
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.4% for Alberta joining the US by December 31, 2026, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers requiring prior secession from Canada under the Clarity Act—demanding a clear referendum majority and federal negotiations, as affirmed in the 1998 Supreme Court Reference re Secession of Quebec. Recent separatist momentum, including Stay Free Alberta's claim of surpassing 177,732 signatures for an October 19 independence referendum, stalled April 10 when the Court of King's Bench granted First Nations a stay over treaty rights violations (Treaties 6-8), freezing verification pending constitutional review. Polls show ~28% support, far short of viability, with no Alberta government endorsement or US Congressional pathway for statehood. Realistic shifts would need court reversal, referendum passage, swift negotiations, and unprecedented US admission—highly improbable within the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,056Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.4% for Alberta joining the US by December 31, 2026, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers requiring prior secession from Canada under the Clarity Act—demanding a clear referendum majority and federal negotiations, as affirmed in the 1998 Supreme Court Reference re Secession of Quebec. Recent separatist momentum, including Stay Free Alberta's claim of surpassing 177,732 signatures for an October 19 independence referendum, stalled April 10 when the Court of King's Bench granted First Nations a stay over treaty rights violations (Treaties 6-8), freezing verification pending constitutional review. Polls show ~28% support, far short of viability, with no Alberta government endorsement or US Congressional pathway for statehood. Realistic shifts would need court reversal, referendum passage, swift negotiations, and unprecedented US admission—highly improbable within the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Wolumen
$2,056Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.4% for Alberta joining the US by December 31, 2026, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers requiring prior secession from Canada under the Clarity Act—demanding a clear referendum majority and federal negotiations, as affirmed in the 1998 Supreme Court Reference re Secession of Quebec. Recent separatist momentum, including Stay Free Alberta's claim of surpassing 177,732 signatures for an October 19 independence referendum, stalled April 10 when the Court of King's Bench granted First Nations a stay over treaty rights violations (Treaties 6-8), freezing verification pending constitutional review. Polls show ~28% support, far short of viability, with no Alberta government endorsement or US Congressional pathway for statehood. Realistic shifts would need court reversal, referendum passage, swift negotiations, and unprecedented US admission—highly improbable within the timeline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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