OpenAI’s rapid post-GPT-5.5 cadence and a May canary leak of a GPT-5.6 identifier in Codex backend logs have anchored trader expectations for a mid-June public rollout. With the prior model shipping in late April and receiving iterative updates through May, markets price the June 15–21 window at 56.5% as the most likely slot for general availability in ChatGPT and the API, reflecting typical six-to-eight-week internal-to-public timelines at the lab. June 8–14 sits at 22.5% on the chance of an earlier drop, while the 15% chance assigned to “not released by June 28” accounts for possible delays from safety reviews or competitive positioning against other frontier large language models. No official announcement, model card, or benchmark has appeared yet, so the odds capture aggregated trader assessment of leak credibility and historical release patterns rather than confirmed plans.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhen will GPT-5.6 be released?
When will GPT-5.6 be released?
June 15–June 21 57%
June 8–June 14 23%
Not released by June 28 13%
June 22–June 28 11.3%
$61,606 Wol.
$61,606 Wol.
Jun 28, 2026
June 1–June 7
2%
June 8–June 14
23%
June 15–June 21
57%
June 22–June 28
11%
Not released by June 28
13%
June 15–June 21 57%
June 8–June 14 23%
Not released by June 28 13%
June 22–June 28 11.3%
$61,606 Wol.
$61,606 Wol.
Jun 28, 2026
June 1–June 7
$12,166 Wol.
2%
June 8–June 14
$11,017 Wol.
23%
June 15–June 21
$2,641 Wol.
57%
June 22–June 28
$2,010 Wol.
11%
Not released by June 28
$6,632 Wol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid post-GPT-5.5 cadence and a May canary leak of a GPT-5.6 identifier in Codex backend logs have anchored trader expectations for a mid-June public rollout. With the prior model shipping in late April and receiving iterative updates through May, markets price the June 15–21 window at 56.5% as the most likely slot for general availability in ChatGPT and the API, reflecting typical six-to-eight-week internal-to-public timelines at the lab. June 8–14 sits at 22.5% on the chance of an earlier drop, while the 15% chance assigned to “not released by June 28” accounts for possible delays from safety reviews or competitive positioning against other frontier large language models. No official announcement, model card, or benchmark has appeared yet, so the odds capture aggregated trader assessment of leak credibility and historical release patterns rather than confirmed plans.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$61,606Data zakończenia
Jun 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s rapid post-GPT-5.5 cadence and a May canary leak of a GPT-5.6 identifier in Codex backend logs have anchored trader expectations for a mid-June public rollout. With the prior model shipping in late April and receiving iterative updates through May, markets price the June 15–21 window at 56.5% as the most likely slot for general availability in ChatGPT and the API, reflecting typical six-to-eight-week internal-to-public timelines at the lab. June 8–14 sits at 22.5% on the chance of an earlier drop, while the 15% chance assigned to “not released by June 28” accounts for possible delays from safety reviews or competitive positioning against other frontier large language models. No official announcement, model card, or benchmark has appeared yet, so the odds capture aggregated trader assessment of leak credibility and historical release patterns rather than confirmed plans.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$61,606Data zakończenia
Jun 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s rapid post-GPT-5.5 cadence and a May canary leak of a GPT-5.6 identifier in Codex backend logs have anchored trader expectations for a mid-June public rollout. With the prior model shipping in late April and receiving iterative updates through May, markets price the June 15–21 window at 56.5% as the most likely slot for general availability in ChatGPT and the API, reflecting typical six-to-eight-week internal-to-public timelines at the lab. June 8–14 sits at 22.5% on the chance of an earlier drop, while the 15% chance assigned to “not released by June 28” accounts for possible delays from safety reviews or competitive positioning against other frontier large language models. No official announcement, model card, or benchmark has appeared yet, so the odds capture aggregated trader assessment of leak credibility and historical release patterns rather than confirmed plans.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania