The race for Texas’s 35th Congressional District remains a toss-up in most forecaster ratings despite the 2025 Republican redistricting that shifted the seat toward a Trump +10 baseline. Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff’s deputy who won the Democratic runoff, and Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of Rep. Monica De La Cruz who secured the GOP nomination with Trump’s backing, have raised comparable funds and focused campaigns on border security, public safety, and economic issues along the I-35 corridor. October polling averages show the candidates statistically tied, prompting recent shifts by Cook and Sabato’s Crystal Ball into toss-up territory. Early voting through October 30 and national midterm turnout patterns have kept trader assessments fluid ahead of the November 3 election.