Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood's unchallenged path through the March 17, 2026, primary solidified his nomination in the safely Republican IL-16 district, anchoring trader consensus at 87.5% odds for a GOP hold in the November general election. The district's R+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index underscores its strong Republican lean, bolstered by LaHood's tenure since 2015 and history of lopsided victories, including no general election opponent in 2024. Democrat Paul Nolley, who also advanced unopposed, faces steep structural barriers amid limited polling or fundraising edges for challengers in such seats, though national midterm dynamics or local turnout shifts could influence the race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIL-16 House Election Winner
IL-16 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
12%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,238 Wol.
88%
Democratic Party
$4,670 Wol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood's unchallenged path through the March 17, 2026, primary solidified his nomination in the safely Republican IL-16 district, anchoring trader consensus at 87.5% odds for a GOP hold in the November general election. The district's R+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index underscores its strong Republican lean, bolstered by LaHood's tenure since 2015 and history of lopsided victories, including no general election opponent in 2024. Democrat Paul Nolley, who also advanced unopposed, faces steep structural barriers amid limited polling or fundraising edges for challengers in such seats, though national midterm dynamics or local turnout shifts could influence the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,908Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood's unchallenged path through the March 17, 2026, primary solidified his nomination in the safely Republican IL-16 district, anchoring trader consensus at 87.5% odds for a GOP hold in the November general election. The district's R+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index underscores its strong Republican lean, bolstered by LaHood's tenure since 2015 and history of lopsided victories, including no general election opponent in 2024. Democrat Paul Nolley, who also advanced unopposed, faces steep structural barriers amid limited polling or fundraising edges for challengers in such seats, though national midterm dynamics or local turnout shifts could influence the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$6,908Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood's unchallenged path through the March 17, 2026, primary solidified his nomination in the safely Republican IL-16 district, anchoring trader consensus at 87.5% odds for a GOP hold in the November general election. The district's R+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index underscores its strong Republican lean, bolstered by LaHood's tenure since 2015 and history of lopsided victories, including no general election opponent in 2024. Democrat Paul Nolley, who also advanced unopposed, faces steep structural barriers amid limited polling or fundraising edges for challengers in such seats, though national midterm dynamics or local turnout shifts could influence the race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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