Morena's commanding 97.7% trader consensus in the Mexico legislative election market stems from its structural advantages as the ruling party, including majorities secured in the 2024 congressional vote alongside the presidency and further consolidation through the 2025 judicial elections that placed aligned candidates across federal courts. The party continues to emphasize internal discipline and territorial organization ahead of the June 2027 contest for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats, while opposition groups including PAN, PRI, and MC remain fragmented. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include major economic downturns, coalition defections within the ruling bloc, or unexpected surges in coordinated opposition mobilization before the election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMorena 97.6%
PVEM 1.4%
PRI <1%
MC <1%
$39,840 Wol.
$39,840 Wol.
Jun 6, 2027
Morena
98%
PVEM
1%
PRI
1%
MC
1%
PAN
<1%
PT
<1%
Morena 97.6%
PVEM 1.4%
PRI <1%
MC <1%
$39,840 Wol.
$39,840 Wol.
Jun 6, 2027
Morena
$14,986 Wol.
98%
PVEM
$5,003 Wol.
1%
PRI
$4,208 Wol.
1%
MC
$6,706 Wol.
1%
PAN
$4,456 Wol.
<1%
PT
$4,492 Wol.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena's commanding 97.7% trader consensus in the Mexico legislative election market stems from its structural advantages as the ruling party, including majorities secured in the 2024 congressional vote alongside the presidency and further consolidation through the 2025 judicial elections that placed aligned candidates across federal courts. The party continues to emphasize internal discipline and territorial organization ahead of the June 2027 contest for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats, while opposition groups including PAN, PRI, and MC remain fragmented. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include major economic downturns, coalition defections within the ruling bloc, or unexpected surges in coordinated opposition mobilization before the election.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Wolumen
$39,840Data zakończenia
Jun 6, 2027Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena's commanding 97.7% trader consensus in the Mexico legislative election market stems from its structural advantages as the ruling party, including majorities secured in the 2024 congressional vote alongside the presidency and further consolidation through the 2025 judicial elections that placed aligned candidates across federal courts. The party continues to emphasize internal discipline and territorial organization ahead of the June 2027 contest for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats, while opposition groups including PAN, PRI, and MC remain fragmented. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include major economic downturns, coalition defections within the ruling bloc, or unexpected surges in coordinated opposition mobilization before the election.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Wolumen
$39,840Data zakończenia
Jun 6, 2027Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena's commanding 97.7% trader consensus in the Mexico legislative election market stems from its structural advantages as the ruling party, including majorities secured in the 2024 congressional vote alongside the presidency and further consolidation through the 2025 judicial elections that placed aligned candidates across federal courts. The party continues to emphasize internal discipline and territorial organization ahead of the June 2027 contest for all 500 Chamber of Deputies seats, while opposition groups including PAN, PRI, and MC remain fragmented. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include major economic downturns, coalition defections within the ruling bloc, or unexpected surges in coordinated opposition mobilization before the election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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