Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds a structural edge in Maryland’s 1st congressional district, which carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. His long tenure since 2011, consistent fundraising, and primary strength contribute to the 64.5% Republican consensus reflected in trader pricing. Democratic challengers remain early in their June 23 primary process with no dominant candidate yet emerging to narrow the gap. Recent campaign finance reports and the absence of major redistricting changes or national shifts have kept the implied probability stable, underscoring the district’s established Republican lean despite the competitive margin suggested by current market levels.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMD-01 House Election Winner
MD-01 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
65%
Democratic Party
35%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,437 Wol.
65%
Democratic Party
$3,537 Wol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds a structural edge in Maryland’s 1st congressional district, which carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. His long tenure since 2011, consistent fundraising, and primary strength contribute to the 64.5% Republican consensus reflected in trader pricing. Democratic challengers remain early in their June 23 primary process with no dominant candidate yet emerging to narrow the gap. Recent campaign finance reports and the absence of major redistricting changes or national shifts have kept the implied probability stable, underscoring the district’s established Republican lean despite the competitive margin suggested by current market levels.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,974Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds a structural edge in Maryland’s 1st congressional district, which carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. His long tenure since 2011, consistent fundraising, and primary strength contribute to the 64.5% Republican consensus reflected in trader pricing. Democratic challengers remain early in their June 23 primary process with no dominant candidate yet emerging to narrow the gap. Recent campaign finance reports and the absence of major redistricting changes or national shifts have kept the implied probability stable, underscoring the district’s established Republican lean despite the competitive margin suggested by current market levels.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$8,974Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andy Harris holds a structural edge in Maryland’s 1st congressional district, which carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and is rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. His long tenure since 2011, consistent fundraising, and primary strength contribute to the 64.5% Republican consensus reflected in trader pricing. Democratic challengers remain early in their June 23 primary process with no dominant candidate yet emerging to narrow the gap. Recent campaign finance reports and the absence of major redistricting changes or national shifts have kept the implied probability stable, underscoring the district’s established Republican lean despite the competitive margin suggested by current market levels.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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