Missouri’s First Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic-leaning seat anchored in urban St. Louis, where consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in prior cycles reflect durable voter demographics and turnout patterns. This structural advantage underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Historical results and district composition continue to define the race absent major intervening events. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include court-ordered redistricting after the next census, an unusually powerful Republican national wave, or a contested primary producing a weaker general-election candidate, though none of these factors have recently shifted the established positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMO-01 House Election Winner
MO-01 House Election Winner
$23,821 Wol.
$23,821 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
4%
$23,821 Wol.
$23,821 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,672 Wol.
93%
Republican Party
$10,149 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s First Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic-leaning seat anchored in urban St. Louis, where consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in prior cycles reflect durable voter demographics and turnout patterns. This structural advantage underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Historical results and district composition continue to define the race absent major intervening events. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include court-ordered redistricting after the next census, an unusually powerful Republican national wave, or a contested primary producing a weaker general-election candidate, though none of these factors have recently shifted the established positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,821Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s First Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic-leaning seat anchored in urban St. Louis, where consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in prior cycles reflect durable voter demographics and turnout patterns. This structural advantage underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Historical results and district composition continue to define the race absent major intervening events. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include court-ordered redistricting after the next census, an unusually powerful Republican national wave, or a contested primary producing a weaker general-election candidate, though none of these factors have recently shifted the established positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$23,821Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s First Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic-leaning seat anchored in urban St. Louis, where consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in prior cycles reflect durable voter demographics and turnout patterns. This structural advantage underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Historical results and district composition continue to define the race absent major intervening events. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include court-ordered redistricting after the next census, an unusually powerful Republican national wave, or a contested primary producing a weaker general-election candidate, though none of these factors have recently shifted the established positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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