Incumbent Ann Wagner secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District with a decisive primary victory in August 2026, while Democrat Fred Wellman advanced after a narrow primary win. The district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in multiple forecaster ratings of Solid or Likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring Wagner. Wellman, a military veteran, has emphasized his background in the general election campaign, yet no recent polling or developments have shifted the race into competitive territory. With the November 3 general election approaching, the structural advantages of incumbency and partisan composition continue to shape positioning in the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMO-02 House Election Winner
MO-02 House Election Winner
$25,785 Wol.
$25,785 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ann Wagner (R)
74%
Fred Wellman (D)
25%
$25,785 Wol.
$25,785 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Ann Wagner (R)
$14,956 Wol.
74%
Fred Wellman (D)
$10,829 Wol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ann Wagner secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District with a decisive primary victory in August 2026, while Democrat Fred Wellman advanced after a narrow primary win. The district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in multiple forecaster ratings of Solid or Likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring Wagner. Wellman, a military veteran, has emphasized his background in the general election campaign, yet no recent polling or developments have shifted the race into competitive territory. With the November 3 general election approaching, the structural advantages of incumbency and partisan composition continue to shape positioning in the market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,785Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ann Wagner secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District with a decisive primary victory in August 2026, while Democrat Fred Wellman advanced after a narrow primary win. The district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in multiple forecaster ratings of Solid or Likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring Wagner. Wellman, a military veteran, has emphasized his background in the general election campaign, yet no recent polling or developments have shifted the race into competitive territory. With the November 3 general election approaching, the structural advantages of incumbency and partisan composition continue to shape positioning in the market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$25,785Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ann Wagner secured the Republican nomination for Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District with a decisive primary victory in August 2026, while Democrat Fred Wellman advanced after a narrow primary win. The district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in multiple forecaster ratings of Solid or Likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring Wagner. Wellman, a military veteran, has emphasized his background in the general election campaign, yet no recent polling or developments have shifted the race into competitive territory. With the November 3 general election approaching, the structural advantages of incumbency and partisan composition continue to shape positioning in the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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