Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 79.5% to retain Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, anchored by incumbent Rep. Ann Wagner's reelection bid in an R+4 district per Cook PVI, where Donald Trump carried 54.5% in 2024. Wagner's fundraising dominance—$2.9 million raised and $4.5 million cash on hand as of late March—dwarfs Democratic challengers, despite Frederick Wellman's $800,000 haul. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect her consistent 4-12 point general election margins since 2013 and fragmented Democratic primary field including Wellman, Nick Vivio, and others ahead of the August 4 primaries. No recent polls have emerged post-filing deadline on March 31.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMO-02 House Election Winner
MO-02 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
20%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,738 Wol.
80%
Democratic Party
$2,081 Wol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 79.5% to retain Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, anchored by incumbent Rep. Ann Wagner's reelection bid in an R+4 district per Cook PVI, where Donald Trump carried 54.5% in 2024. Wagner's fundraising dominance—$2.9 million raised and $4.5 million cash on hand as of late March—dwarfs Democratic challengers, despite Frederick Wellman's $800,000 haul. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect her consistent 4-12 point general election margins since 2013 and fragmented Democratic primary field including Wellman, Nick Vivio, and others ahead of the August 4 primaries. No recent polls have emerged post-filing deadline on March 31.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,819Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 79.5% to retain Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, anchored by incumbent Rep. Ann Wagner's reelection bid in an R+4 district per Cook PVI, where Donald Trump carried 54.5% in 2024. Wagner's fundraising dominance—$2.9 million raised and $4.5 million cash on hand as of late March—dwarfs Democratic challengers, despite Frederick Wellman's $800,000 haul. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect her consistent 4-12 point general election margins since 2013 and fragmented Democratic primary field including Wellman, Nick Vivio, and others ahead of the August 4 primaries. No recent polls have emerged post-filing deadline on March 31.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$4,819Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 79.5% to retain Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, anchored by incumbent Rep. Ann Wagner's reelection bid in an R+4 district per Cook PVI, where Donald Trump carried 54.5% in 2024. Wagner's fundraising dominance—$2.9 million raised and $4.5 million cash on hand as of late March—dwarfs Democratic challengers, despite Frederick Wellman's $800,000 haul. Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect her consistent 4-12 point general election margins since 2013 and fragmented Democratic primary field including Wellman, Nick Vivio, and others ahead of the August 4 primaries. No recent polls have emerged post-filing deadline on March 31.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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