California’s 36th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic voter registration edge and partisan voting index that consistently deliver large margins for the party. Incumbent Representative Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside fellow Democrats while Republican and no-party-preference candidates trailed substantially in low-turnout balloting typical of safe seats. Rating organizations classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical results and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the structural barriers any challenger would face in a general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political shift remain the primary variables that could alter the outlook before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
$11,734 Wol.
$11,734 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
6%
$11,734 Wol.
$11,734 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,441 Wol.
92%
Republican Party
$6,293 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 36th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic voter registration edge and partisan voting index that consistently deliver large margins for the party. Incumbent Representative Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside fellow Democrats while Republican and no-party-preference candidates trailed substantially in low-turnout balloting typical of safe seats. Rating organizations classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical results and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the structural barriers any challenger would face in a general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political shift remain the primary variables that could alter the outlook before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,734Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 36th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic voter registration edge and partisan voting index that consistently deliver large margins for the party. Incumbent Representative Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside fellow Democrats while Republican and no-party-preference candidates trailed substantially in low-turnout balloting typical of safe seats. Rating organizations classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical results and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the structural barriers any challenger would face in a general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political shift remain the primary variables that could alter the outlook before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$11,734Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 36th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic voter registration edge and partisan voting index that consistently deliver large margins for the party. Incumbent Representative Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside fellow Democrats while Republican and no-party-preference candidates trailed substantially in low-turnout balloting typical of safe seats. Rating organizations classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical results and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at these levels incorporates the structural barriers any challenger would face in a general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national political shift remain the primary variables that could alter the outlook before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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