The tight trader consensus in Missouri’s 1st District Democratic primary reflects a high-profile rematch between incumbent Wesley Bell and former Representative Cori Bush, with Bell holding a modest edge from stronger fundraising—over $1.9 million raised through March 2026—and a February poll showing him ahead 44-40 among likely Democratic voters. Bush’s challenge draws on her established grassroots network and progressive base in St. Louis, while Bell benefits from incumbency advantages and the district’s heavy Democratic tilt that makes the August 4 primary the key contest. Other filed candidates remain marginal. The narrow spread in market prices underscores uncertainty over turnout dynamics, potential outside spending, and how voter priorities on local issues versus national alignments will resolve before primary day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$16,376 Wol.
$16,376 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
Wesley Bell
59%
Cori Bush
39%
$16,376 Wol.
$16,376 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
Wesley Bell
$9,094 Wol.
59%
Cori Bush
$7,283 Wol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight trader consensus in Missouri’s 1st District Democratic primary reflects a high-profile rematch between incumbent Wesley Bell and former Representative Cori Bush, with Bell holding a modest edge from stronger fundraising—over $1.9 million raised through March 2026—and a February poll showing him ahead 44-40 among likely Democratic voters. Bush’s challenge draws on her established grassroots network and progressive base in St. Louis, while Bell benefits from incumbency advantages and the district’s heavy Democratic tilt that makes the August 4 primary the key contest. Other filed candidates remain marginal. The narrow spread in market prices underscores uncertainty over turnout dynamics, potential outside spending, and how voter priorities on local issues versus national alignments will resolve before primary day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$16,376Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The tight trader consensus in Missouri’s 1st District Democratic primary reflects a high-profile rematch between incumbent Wesley Bell and former Representative Cori Bush, with Bell holding a modest edge from stronger fundraising—over $1.9 million raised through March 2026—and a February poll showing him ahead 44-40 among likely Democratic voters. Bush’s challenge draws on her established grassroots network and progressive base in St. Louis, while Bell benefits from incumbency advantages and the district’s heavy Democratic tilt that makes the August 4 primary the key contest. Other filed candidates remain marginal. The narrow spread in market prices underscores uncertainty over turnout dynamics, potential outside spending, and how voter priorities on local issues versus national alignments will resolve before primary day.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$16,376Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight trader consensus in Missouri’s 1st District Democratic primary reflects a high-profile rematch between incumbent Wesley Bell and former Representative Cori Bush, with Bell holding a modest edge from stronger fundraising—over $1.9 million raised through March 2026—and a February poll showing him ahead 44-40 among likely Democratic voters. Bush’s challenge draws on her established grassroots network and progressive base in St. Louis, while Bell benefits from incumbency advantages and the district’s heavy Democratic tilt that makes the August 4 primary the key contest. Other filed candidates remain marginal. The narrow spread in market prices underscores uncertainty over turnout dynamics, potential outside spending, and how voter priorities on local issues versus national alignments will resolve before primary day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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