Russian strike on a NATO member by...?

Nato

Russia

Russian strike on a NATO member by...?

5%

March 31

$2m Vol.

$265k today

$10.1k Liq.

13

Ends in about 2 months

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

9%

$790k Vol.

$41.9k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

89%

June 30

$60.7k Vol.

$12.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

60%

$30.4k Vol.

$9.4k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Will any country leave NATO by...?

Will any country leave NATO by...?

5%

June 30, 2026

$340k Vol.

$8.4k Liq.

15

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$227k Vol.

$9.0k Liq.

13

NATO dissolves before 2027?

NATO dissolves before 2027?

7%

$38.6k Vol.

$20.3k Liq.

14

Ends in 11 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Nato.

Polymarket currently hosts 7 active markets for Nato that lets you track or trade on predictions like "Russian strike on a NATO member by...?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "NATO dissolves before 2027?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "Russian strike on a NATO member by...?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "Russian strike on a NATO member by...?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 5% chance to March 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Nato predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.