Putin’s firm grip on power, secured through constitutional term resets allowing potential reelection until 2036 and the absence of any scheduled presidential vote before 2030, underpins the strong trader consensus against his removal by year-end 2026. As of mid-2026 he remains actively engaged in governance, including public appearances at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum and continued direction of Russia’s Ukraine policy, with no verified reports of serious health setbacks, elite defections, or institutional challenges capable of forcing an exit. The six-month window offers limited scope for unforeseen developments such as sudden incapacity or internal upheaval to alter the trajectory, while historical patterns of Russian leadership transitions and the centralized nature of the political system reinforce expectations of continuity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$7,774,335 거래량
$7,774,335 거래량
예
$7,774,335 거래량
$7,774,335 거래량
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Putin’s firm grip on power, secured through constitutional term resets allowing potential reelection until 2036 and the absence of any scheduled presidential vote before 2030, underpins the strong trader consensus against his removal by year-end 2026. As of mid-2026 he remains actively engaged in governance, including public appearances at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum and continued direction of Russia’s Ukraine policy, with no verified reports of serious health setbacks, elite defections, or institutional challenges capable of forcing an exit. The six-month window offers limited scope for unforeseen developments such as sudden incapacity or internal upheaval to alter the trajectory, while historical patterns of Russian leadership transitions and the centralized nature of the political system reinforce expectations of continuity.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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