Vladimir Putin's constitutional term as Russian president extends until May 2030, following his May 2024 inauguration for a fifth six-year stint after securing over 87% of votes in a tightly controlled election, anchoring trader consensus at 88.5% against his exit by year-end 2026. No verified health crises, coup attempts, or official resignation signals have emerged in recent months, despite ongoing strains from the Ukraine conflict, including slow territorial gains and economic pressures. The Kremlin's recent tightening of personal security around Putin amid unspecified intelligence threats underscores vigilance but reinforces his unchallenged control over state institutions and security apparatus. Late-breaking developments like sudden illness or elite infighting could shift odds, though historical patterns favor continuity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
$4,270,274 Vol.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin's constitutional term as Russian president extends until May 2030, following his May 2024 inauguration for a fifth six-year stint after securing over 87% of votes in a tightly controlled election, anchoring trader consensus at 88.5% against his exit by year-end 2026. No verified health crises, coup attempts, or official resignation signals have emerged in recent months, despite ongoing strains from the Ukraine conflict, including slow territorial gains and economic pressures. The Kremlin's recent tightening of personal security around Putin amid unspecified intelligence threats underscores vigilance but reinforces his unchallenged control over state institutions and security apparatus. Late-breaking developments like sudden illness or elite infighting could shift odds, though historical patterns favor continuity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions