Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability on "No" for Vladimir Putin exiting as Russian president by December 31, 2026, reflecting his secure constitutional term extending to May 2030 following 2024 amendments and inauguration. Recent Kremlin actions, including heightened personal security amid unverified coup and assassination fears reported in early May, underscore his entrenched control over security apparatus and elites rather than instability. Public appearances, such as warnings on Ukraine intensified attacks and an anti-aging initiative announced May 2, signal ongoing vigor at age 73, with no official resignation signals, health crises, or institutional challenges in the past 30 days. Ahead of the May 9 Victory Day parade, preparations affirm continuity, though sudden health events or elite fractures could shift odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$4,270,274 거래량
$4,270,274 거래량
2026.12.31
4% 수익
예
$4,270,274 거래량
$4,270,274 거래량
2026.12.31
4% 수익
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability on "No" for Vladimir Putin exiting as Russian president by December 31, 2026, reflecting his secure constitutional term extending to May 2030 following 2024 amendments and inauguration. Recent Kremlin actions, including heightened personal security amid unverified coup and assassination fears reported in early May, underscore his entrenched control over security apparatus and elites rather than instability. Public appearances, such as warnings on Ukraine intensified attacks and an anti-aging initiative announced May 2, signal ongoing vigor at age 73, with no official resignation signals, health crises, or institutional challenges in the past 30 days. Ahead of the May 9 Victory Day parade, preparations affirm continuity, though sudden health events or elite fractures could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
거래량
$4,270,274종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability on "No" for Vladimir Putin exiting as Russian president by December 31, 2026, reflecting his secure constitutional term extending to May 2030 following 2024 amendments and inauguration. Recent Kremlin actions, including heightened personal security amid unverified coup and assassination fears reported in early May, underscore his entrenched control over security apparatus and elites rather than instability. Public appearances, such as warnings on Ukraine intensified attacks and an anti-aging initiative announced May 2, signal ongoing vigor at age 73, with no official resignation signals, health crises, or institutional challenges in the past 30 days. Ahead of the May 9 Victory Day parade, preparations affirm continuity, though sudden health events or elite fractures could shift odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$4,270,274종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus prices an 88.5% implied probability on "No" for Vladimir Putin exiting as Russian president by December 31, 2026, reflecting his secure constitutional term extending to May 2030 following 2024 amendments and inauguration. Recent Kremlin actions, including heightened personal security amid unverified coup and assassination fears reported in early May, underscore his entrenched control over security apparatus and elites rather than instability. Public appearances, such as warnings on Ukraine intensified attacks and an anti-aging initiative announced May 2, signal ongoing vigor at age 73, with no official resignation signals, health crises, or institutional challenges in the past 30 days. Ahead of the May 9 Victory Day parade, preparations affirm continuity, though sudden health events or elite fractures could shift odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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