Amid heightened U.S.-Cuba tensions fueled by Trump's maximum pressure campaign—including a January executive order declaring Cuba a national security threat and ongoing oil sanctions blocking Venezuelan shipments—Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel vowed on April 16 to defend against potential military aggression, coinciding with the Bay of Pigs invasion's 65th anniversary. Pentagon reports indicate contingency planning has accelerated quietly, yet senior U.S. military officials, including a March statement from a top general, deny active invasion preparations, emphasizing no shift in posture. Traders price a 76% "No" probability reflecting the absence of concrete mobilization, congressional war powers resolutions opposing unilateral action, and Washington's competing priorities like Iran, rendering full-scale invasion unlikely absent major escalation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$1,428,539 거래량
$1,428,539 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$1,428,539 거래량
$1,428,539 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Amid heightened U.S.-Cuba tensions fueled by Trump's maximum pressure campaign—including a January executive order declaring Cuba a national security threat and ongoing oil sanctions blocking Venezuelan shipments—Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel vowed on April 16 to defend against potential military aggression, coinciding with the Bay of Pigs invasion's 65th anniversary. Pentagon reports indicate contingency planning has accelerated quietly, yet senior U.S. military officials, including a March statement from a top general, deny active invasion preparations, emphasizing no shift in posture. Traders price a 76% "No" probability reflecting the absence of concrete mobilization, congressional war powers resolutions opposing unilateral action, and Washington's competing priorities like Iran, rendering full-scale invasion unlikely absent major escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
거래량
$1,428,539종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Amid heightened U.S.-Cuba tensions fueled by Trump's maximum pressure campaign—including a January executive order declaring Cuba a national security threat and ongoing oil sanctions blocking Venezuelan shipments—Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel vowed on April 16 to defend against potential military aggression, coinciding with the Bay of Pigs invasion's 65th anniversary. Pentagon reports indicate contingency planning has accelerated quietly, yet senior U.S. military officials, including a March statement from a top general, deny active invasion preparations, emphasizing no shift in posture. Traders price a 76% "No" probability reflecting the absence of concrete mobilization, congressional war powers resolutions opposing unilateral action, and Washington's competing priorities like Iran, rendering full-scale invasion unlikely absent major escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
거래량
$1,428,539종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened U.S.-Cuba tensions fueled by Trump's maximum pressure campaign—including a January executive order declaring Cuba a national security threat and ongoing oil sanctions blocking Venezuelan shipments—Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel vowed on April 16 to defend against potential military aggression, coinciding with the Bay of Pigs invasion's 65th anniversary. Pentagon reports indicate contingency planning has accelerated quietly, yet senior U.S. military officials, including a March statement from a top general, deny active invasion preparations, emphasizing no shift in posture. Traders price a 76% "No" probability reflecting the absence of concrete mobilization, congressional war powers resolutions opposing unilateral action, and Washington's competing priorities like Iran, rendering full-scale invasion unlikely absent major escalation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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