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Will Barack Obama call on Biden to drop out?

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Will Barack Obama call on Biden to drop out?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$251,665 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$251,665 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama publicly states that Joe Biden should drop out of the 2024 presidential race before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

Statements that are hedged or express ambiguity, such as “We need to consider our options for the nominee” will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If the DNC does not begin by August 31, and Barack Obama has not called for Biden to leave the ticket, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Barack Obama or his official representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
볼륨
$251,665
종료일
Aug 31, 2024
생성일
Jul 12, 2024, 2:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama publicly states that Joe Biden should drop out of the 2024 presidential race before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Statements that are hedged or express ambiguity, such as “We need to consider our options for the nominee” will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If the DNC does not begin by August 31, and Barack Obama has not called for Biden to leave the ticket, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Barack Obama or his official representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

제안된 결과: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama publicly states that Joe Biden should drop out of the 2024 presidential race before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

Statements that are hedged or express ambiguity, such as “We need to consider our options for the nominee” will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If the DNC does not begin by August 31, and Barack Obama has not called for Biden to leave the ticket, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Barack Obama or his official representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
볼륨
$251,665
종료일
Aug 31, 2024
생성일
Jul 12, 2024, 2:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama publicly states that Joe Biden should drop out of the 2024 presidential race before 12:00 AM ET on the first day of the Democratic National Convention, currently scheduled for August 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Statements that the Democratic party should nominate another candidate other than Joe Biden will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Statements that are hedged or express ambiguity, such as “We need to consider our options for the nominee” will NOT qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If the DNC does not begin by August 31, and Barack Obama has not called for Biden to leave the ticket, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Barack Obama or his official representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

제안된 결과: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Barack Obama call on Biden to drop out?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Barack Obama call on Biden to drop out?" has generated $251.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 12, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Barack Obama call on Biden to drop out?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Barack Obama call on Biden to drop out?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Barack Obama call on Biden to drop out?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.