Market icon

Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?

Market icon

Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?

$3,193,944 Vol.

Apr 29, 2025
Polymarket

$3,193,944 Vol.

Polymarket

Marco Rubio (Sec. of State)

$151,201 Vol.

No

RFK Jr. (HHS Secretary)

$37,278 Vol.

No

Karoline Leavitt (Press Secretary)

$27,161 Vol.

No

Pam Bondi (AG)

$33,102 Vol.

No

Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador)

$2,032,110 Vol.

Yes

Pete Hegseth (Defense Secretary)

$144,028 Vol.

No

Lee Zeldin (EPA Director)

$103,829 Vol.

No

Tulsi Gabbard (DNI Director)

$203,530 Vol.

No

Jerome Powell (Fed Chair)

$92,077 Vol.

No

Scott Bessent (Treasury Secretary)

$163,756 Vol.

No

Elon Musk (DOGE Head)

$174,650 Vol.

Yes

Susie Wiles (WH Chief of Staff)

$22,198 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual ceases to occupy the listed position for any period of time between February 12 and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of listed individual resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

Only announcements of resignations before the listed individuals scheduled term in that position is up will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
볼륨
$3,193,944
종료일
Apr 29, 2025
생성일
Feb 14, 2025, 8:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual ceases to occupy the listed position for any period of time between February 12 and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of listed individual resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only announcements of resignations before the listed individuals scheduled term in that position is up will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

제안된 결과: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) " at 100%, followed by "Elon Musk (DOGE Head)" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?" has generated $3.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?" is "Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador) " at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elon Musk (DOGE Head)" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.