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Which party wins second most seats in UK Election?

Market icon

Which party wins second most seats in UK Election?

Conservatives 100.0%

Lib Dems 100.0%

Reform 100.0%

Greens 100.0%

Polymarket

$585,892 Vol.

Conservatives 100.0%

Lib Dems 100.0%

Reform 100.0%

Greens 100.0%

Polymarket

$585,892 Vol.

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Conservatives

$185,829 Vol.

Yes

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Lib Dems

$81,654 Vol.

No

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Reform

$185,285 Vol.

No

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Greens

$30,064 Vol.

No

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Other

$30,326 Vol.

No

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Labour

$72,734 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative Party gains the second most seats of all parties in the House of Commons as a result of the next UK General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the next UK General Election does not occur by January 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party which comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Conservative Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
볼륨
$585,892
종료일
Jul 4, 2024
생성일
Jun 17, 2024, 10:51 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Conservative Party gains the second most seats of all parties in the House of Commons as a result of the next UK General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the next UK General Election does not occur by January 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party which comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Conservative Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

제안된 결과: Yes

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최종 결과: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which party wins second most seats in UK Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Conservatives" at 100%, followed by "Lib Dems" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which party wins second most seats in UK Election?" has generated $585.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 17, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which party wins second most seats in UK Election?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which party wins second most seats in UK Election?" is "Conservatives" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lib Dems" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which party wins second most seats in UK Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.