Incumbent Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, in Washington's 3rd congressional district, where the top two vote-getters advance to the November general election. State Senate Minority Leader John Braun has emerged as the leading Republican contender following the May 2026 candidate filing period, with fewer disruptive challengers than in prior cycles. Other Democratic and Republican filers, including Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell on the Democratic side, remain lower-profile. Trader consensus reflects the district's narrow partisan lean and historical primary patterns favoring established names, with limited new polling or campaign finance shifts reported in recent weeks that would alter advancement probabilities ahead of the primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$45,771 거래량
존 브라운
97%
마리 글루센캄프 페레즈
87%
Antony Barran
16%
브렌트 헨리히
9%
로렌스 켈로그
5%
Eric Vaughan
3%
수잔나 V. 태너
3%
$45,771 거래량
존 브라운
97%
마리 글루센캄프 페레즈
87%
Antony Barran
16%
브렌트 헨리히
9%
로렌스 켈로그
5%
Eric Vaughan
3%
수잔나 V. 태너
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
마켓 개설일: Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, in Washington's 3rd congressional district, where the top two vote-getters advance to the November general election. State Senate Minority Leader John Braun has emerged as the leading Republican contender following the May 2026 candidate filing period, with fewer disruptive challengers than in prior cycles. Other Democratic and Republican filers, including Brent Hennrich and Austin Braswell on the Democratic side, remain lower-profile. Trader consensus reflects the district's narrow partisan lean and historical primary patterns favoring established names, with limited new polling or campaign finance shifts reported in recent weeks that would alter advancement probabilities ahead of the primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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