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미국이 3월 31일까지 멕시코 카르텔 드론을 다운시키나요?

Market icon

미국이 3월 31일까지 멕시코 카르텔 드론을 다운시키나요?

28% chance
Polymarket
NEW

28% chance
Polymarket
NEW

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military or federal government downs or disables any Mexican cartel drone by any means (including kinetic, laser, jammer, etc.) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to a Mexican drug cartel or any Narco-trafficking organization based in Mexico by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered a “Mexican cartel drone.”

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
볼륨
$9,384
종료일
Mar 31, 2026
생성일
Feb 12, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military or federal government downs or disables any Mexican cartel drone by any means (including kinetic, laser, jammer, etc.) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to a Mexican drug cartel or any Narco-trafficking organization based in Mexico by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered a “Mexican cartel drone.” The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military or federal government downs or disables any Mexican cartel drone by any means (including kinetic, laser, jammer, etc.) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to a Mexican drug cartel or any Narco-trafficking organization based in Mexico by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered a “Mexican cartel drone.”

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
볼륨
$9,384
종료일
Mar 31, 2026
생성일
Feb 12, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military or federal government downs or disables any Mexican cartel drone by any means (including kinetic, laser, jammer, etc.) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to a Mexican drug cartel or any Narco-trafficking organization based in Mexico by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered a “Mexican cartel drone.” The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"미국이 3월 31일까지 멕시코 카르텔 드론을 다운시키나요?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "미국이 3월 31일까지 멕시코 카르텔 드론을 격추했는가?" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"미국이 3월 31일까지 멕시코 카르텔 드론을 다운시키나요?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "미국이 3월 31일까지 멕시코 카르텔 드론을 다운시키나요?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "미국이 3월 31일까지 멕시코 카르텔 드론을 다운시키나요?" is "미국이 3월 31일까지 멕시코 카르텔 드론을 격추했는가?" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "미국이 3월 31일까지 멕시코 카르텔 드론을 다운시키나요?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.