Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. Congress member resigning, being expelled, or otherwise leaving office over Epstein files by April 30, reflecting the absence of any sitting lawmaker facing substantiated pressure despite the DOJ's release of 3.5 million pages under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act. Major disclosures in January and February 2026 reiterated known associations without new evidence triggering resignations, while recent controversies—such as Attorney General Pam Bondi's April dismissal amid subpoena threats and lawmakers' demands for unredacted reviews—have yielded no indictments or credible scandals against current members. With just 11 days remaining, high confidence stems from digested revelations and procedural hurdles to swift ousters; only a late-breaking indictment, damning unredacted file, or public admission could shift odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no U.S. Congress member resigning, being expelled, or otherwise leaving office over Epstein files by April 30, reflecting the absence of any sitting lawmaker facing substantiated pressure despite the DOJ's release of 3.5 million pages under the 2025 Epstein Files Transparency Act. Major disclosures in January and February 2026 reiterated known associations without new evidence triggering resignations, while recent controversies—such as Attorney General Pam Bondi's April dismissal amid subpoena threats and lawmakers' demands for unredacted reviews—have yielded no indictments or credible scandals against current members. With just 11 days remaining, high confidence stems from digested revelations and procedural hurdles to swift ousters; only a late-breaking indictment, damning unredacted file, or public admission could shift odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문