Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% for Texas's 13th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's deep-red status in the conservative Texas Panhandle and incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's decisive victory in the March 3 Republican primary over challenger Chasity Wedgeworth. Jackson, a Trump ally and former White House physician, benefits from strong incumbency in a district rated R+24 by Cook PVI, with no recent polls showing Democratic viability against nominee Mark Nair. No major developments have emerged since the primaries, underscoring the race's lack of competitiveness ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios like a Jackson scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave could shift odds, though historical base rates for such safe seats suggest low risk.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,276 거래량
$11,276 거래량
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$11,276 거래량
$11,276 거래량
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% for Texas's 13th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's deep-red status in the conservative Texas Panhandle and incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's decisive victory in the March 3 Republican primary over challenger Chasity Wedgeworth. Jackson, a Trump ally and former White House physician, benefits from strong incumbency in a district rated R+24 by Cook PVI, with no recent polls showing Democratic viability against nominee Mark Nair. No major developments have emerged since the primaries, underscoring the race's lack of competitiveness ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios like a Jackson scandal, health issue, or national Democratic wave could shift odds, though historical base rates for such safe seats suggest low risk.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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