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포르투갈 대통령 선거

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포르투갈 대통령 선거

안토니우 조제 세구루 (무소속) 100.0%

주앙 코트림 피게이레두 (IL) <1%

루이 모레이라 (무소속) <1%

파울루 포르타스 (CDS) <1%

Polymarket

$136,469,386 Vol.

안토니우 조제 세구루 (무소속) 100.0%

주앙 코트림 피게이레두 (IL) <1%

루이 모레이라 (무소속) <1%

파울루 포르타스 (CDS) <1%

Polymarket

$136,469,386 Vol.

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주앙 코트림 피게이레두 (IL)

$4,243,461 Vol.

아니오

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루이 모레이라 (무소속)

$4,047,912 Vol.

아니오

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파울루 포르타스 (CDS)

$3,839,857 Vol.

아니오

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카타리나 마르티스 (블록당)

$3,267,956 Vol.

아니오

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팀 비에이라 (무소속)

$360,281 Vol.

아니오

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조아나 아마랄 디아스 (ADN)

$6,003,994 Vol.

아니오

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André Pestana (무소속)

$1,875,020 Vol.

아니오

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앙드레 벤투라 (CH)

$19,399,481 Vol.

아니오

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올란도 크루즈 (무소속)

$814,463 Vol.

아니오

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아리스티데스 테이셰이라 (무소속)

$9,129,551 Vol.

아니오

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마누엘라 마뇨 (무소속)

$3,477,295 Vol.

아니오

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루이스 마르케스 멘데스 (PSD)

$4,148,458 Vol.

아니오

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페드로 티노쿠 드 파리아 (무소속)

$8,706,168 Vol.

아니오

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엔히크 구베이아 이 멜루 (무소속)

$2,954,276 Vol.

아니오

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안토니우 조제 세구루 (무소속)

$7,867,806 Vol.

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비토리누 실바 (무소속)

$4,143,491 Vol.

아니오

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앙젤라 마리아 (무소속)

$7,078,441 Vol.

아니오

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안토니우 필리페 (PCP)

$7,184,027 Vol.

아니오

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라울 페레스트렐루 (무소속)

$18,905,389 Vol.

아니오

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조제 카르도수 (PLS)

$8,448,383 Vol.

아니오

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페드루 파수스 쿠엘류 (PSD)

$4,120,614 Vol.

아니오

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조르제 핀투

$6,453,061 Vol.

아니오

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
볼륨
$136,469,386
종료일
Feb 8, 2026
생성일
Aug 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

제안된 결과: 아니오

이의 없음

최종 결과: 아니오

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Frequently Asked Questions

"포르투갈 대통령 선거" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "안토니우 조제 세구루 (무소속)" at 100%, followed by "주앙 코트림 피게이레두 (IL)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "포르투갈 대통령 선거" has generated $136.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "포르투갈 대통령 선거," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "포르투갈 대통령 선거" is "안토니우 조제 세구루 (무소속)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "주앙 코트림 피게이레두 (IL)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "포르투갈 대통령 선거" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.