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Next Republican House Conference Chair?

Market icon

Next Republican House Conference Chair?

Lisa McClain 100.0%

Other <1%

Kat Cammack <1%

Erin Houchin <1%

Polymarket

$384,880 Vol.

Lisa McClain 100.0%

Other <1%

Kat Cammack <1%

Erin Houchin <1%

Polymarket

$384,880 Vol.

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Other

$68,110 Vol.

No

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Lisa McClain

$111,083 Vol.

Yes

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Kat Cammack

$63,547 Vol.

No

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Erin Houchin

$72,199 Vol.

No

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Anna Paulina Luna

$30,314 Vol.

No

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Blake Moore

$39,626 Vol.

No

GOP lawmakers are making moves to become the next House Republican conference chair in the wake of President-elect Trump tapping Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) to serve as his ambassador to the United Nations (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/11/11/house-republicans-elise-stefanik-leadership-role).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa McClain is announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will will resolve based on the first official announcement of the next Republican House Conference Chair from the Republican Party.

If no Republican House Conference Chair is announced by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
볼륨
$384,880
종료일
Jun 30, 2025
생성일
Nov 11, 2024, 6:17 PM ET
GOP lawmakers are making moves to become the next House Republican conference chair in the wake of President-elect Trump tapping Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) to serve as his ambassador to the United Nations (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/11/11/house-republicans-elise-stefanik-leadership-role). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa McClain is announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will will resolve based on the first official announcement of the next Republican House Conference Chair from the Republican Party. If no Republican House Conference Chair is announced by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

제안된 결과: Yes

이의 없음

최종 결과: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Republican House Conference Chair?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lisa McClain" at 100%, followed by "Other" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Republican House Conference Chair?" has generated $384.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 11, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Republican House Conference Chair?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Republican House Conference Chair?" is "Lisa McClain" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Other" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Republican House Conference Chair?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.