The tight trader consensus in Montana's 1st Congressional District House race, with Republicans at 50.5% and Democrats at 48%, stems from incumbent Ryan Zinke's March 2026 retirement, erasing the GOP's incumbency advantage in this Republican-leaning battleground encompassing growing areas like Missoula and Bozeman. The district's Trump +11 margin in 2024 underscores baseline GOP strength, yet Democratic challengers led by Ryan Busse—who polled competitively against Zinke pre-retirement—have raised substantial funds and appealed to independents on public lands and conservation issues. Crowded June 2 primaries featuring four GOP contenders including Aaron Flint and four Democrats could yield a nominee mismatch, while post-primary polling, fundraising edges, and national House control dynamics (GOP 217-212 majority) loom as catalysts for separation ahead of November's general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
50%
Democratic Party
43%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$1,011 거래량
50%
Democratic Party
$392 거래량
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The tight trader consensus in Montana's 1st Congressional District House race, with Republicans at 50.5% and Democrats at 48%, stems from incumbent Ryan Zinke's March 2026 retirement, erasing the GOP's incumbency advantage in this Republican-leaning battleground encompassing growing areas like Missoula and Bozeman. The district's Trump +11 margin in 2024 underscores baseline GOP strength, yet Democratic challengers led by Ryan Busse—who polled competitively against Zinke pre-retirement—have raised substantial funds and appealed to independents on public lands and conservation issues. Crowded June 2 primaries featuring four GOP contenders including Aaron Flint and four Democrats could yield a nominee mismatch, while post-primary polling, fundraising edges, and national House control dynamics (GOP 217-212 majority) loom as catalysts for separation ahead of November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
거래량
$1,402종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The tight trader consensus in Montana's 1st Congressional District House race, with Republicans at 50.5% and Democrats at 48%, stems from incumbent Ryan Zinke's March 2026 retirement, erasing the GOP's incumbency advantage in this Republican-leaning battleground encompassing growing areas like Missoula and Bozeman. The district's Trump +11 margin in 2024 underscores baseline GOP strength, yet Democratic challengers led by Ryan Busse—who polled competitively against Zinke pre-retirement—have raised substantial funds and appealed to independents on public lands and conservation issues. Crowded June 2 primaries featuring four GOP contenders including Aaron Flint and four Democrats could yield a nominee mismatch, while post-primary polling, fundraising edges, and national House control dynamics (GOP 217-212 majority) loom as catalysts for separation ahead of November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$1,402종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight trader consensus in Montana's 1st Congressional District House race, with Republicans at 50.5% and Democrats at 48%, stems from incumbent Ryan Zinke's March 2026 retirement, erasing the GOP's incumbency advantage in this Republican-leaning battleground encompassing growing areas like Missoula and Bozeman. The district's Trump +11 margin in 2024 underscores baseline GOP strength, yet Democratic challengers led by Ryan Busse—who polled competitively against Zinke pre-retirement—have raised substantial funds and appealed to independents on public lands and conservation issues. Crowded June 2 primaries featuring four GOP contenders including Aaron Flint and four Democrats could yield a nominee mismatch, while post-primary polling, fundraising edges, and national House control dynamics (GOP 217-212 majority) loom as catalysts for separation ahead of November's general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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