Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?
$205,362 Vol.
$205,362 Vol.
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency (e.g. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, CDC, NIH, etc.) definitively states that the initial Monkeypox (Mpox) Clade 1 virus came from a lab by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency (e.g. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, CDC, NIH, etc.) definitively states that the initial Monkeypox (Mpox) Clade 1 virus came from a lab by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
생성일: Aug 15, 2024, 3:39 PM ET
볼륨
$205,362종료일
Dec 31, 2024생성일
Aug 15, 2024, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...제안된 결과: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?
$205,362 Vol.
$205,362 Vol.
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency (e.g. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, CDC, NIH, etc.) definitively states that the initial Monkeypox (Mpox) Clade 1 virus came from a lab by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency (e.g. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, CDC, NIH, etc.) definitively states that the initial Monkeypox (Mpox) Clade 1 virus came from a lab by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
볼륨
$205,362종료일
Dec 31, 2024생성일
Aug 15, 2024, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...제안된 결과: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
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Frequently Asked Questions
"Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?" has generated $205.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 15, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions