Opinion predictions & odds

Politics·Biden

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

$24.6K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$24.6K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Primaries

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

$0 Vol.

$364 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

25%

Kamala Harris

$0 Vol.

$364 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Politics·Trump

SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

$1.8K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$1.8K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Fraud

LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?

$990 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

$990 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Elections·Midterms

Senate control favorite on November 2?

$242 Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

84%

Democratic Party

$242 Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Primaries

Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

$40 Vol.

$377 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

43%

Donald Trump Jr.

$40 Vol.

$377 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs EvolupeGG (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

$587 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

47%

ENJOY

$587 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Finance·Fed

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

$19.6K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

44%

$19.6K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Midterms

House control favorite on November 2?

$2.2K Vol.

$28.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

97%

Democratic Party

$2.2K Vol.

$28.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Primaries

Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?

$3.1K Vol.

$69.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

$3.1K Vol.

$69.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Politics·Approvals

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

$670 Vol.

$148 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

20%

$670 Vol.

$148 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Finance·Fed

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

$6.9K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

42%

$6.9K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·California

California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

$2.9K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

61%

$2.9K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Sports·Boxing

Aloys Youmbi vs. Mike Perez

$1.4K Vol.

$212 Liq.

50%

Mike Perez

$1.4K Vol.

$212 Liq.

Politics·Hearing

Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

$387 Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

$387 Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Geopolitics·Israel

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

$4.6K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

42%

$4.6K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Fraternity (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

$19.0K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

50%

ENJOY

$19.0K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs VP.Prodigy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

$724 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

47%

Basement Bobs

$724 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Culture·Movies

"Sense and Sensibility" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

$0 Vol.

$415 Liq.

Ends in 27 days

51%

65+

$0 Vol.

$415 Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Politics·Trump

Nick Fuentes federally charged?

$10.9K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

$10.9K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Opinion.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Opinion that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $101K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nick Fuentes federally charged?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Opinion predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Opinion shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Opinion prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Opinion Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Opinion prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Opinion predictions & odds

Politics·Biden

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

$24.6K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$24.6K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Primaries

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

$0 Vol.

$364 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

25%

Kamala Harris

$0 Vol.

$364 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Politics·Trump

SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

$1.8K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$1.8K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Fraud

LA Mayoral Election: Court Rules 1st Round Fraudulent?

$990 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

$990 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Elections·Midterms

Senate control favorite on November 2?

$242 Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

84%

Democratic Party

$242 Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Primaries

Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

$40 Vol.

$377 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

43%

Donald Trump Jr.

$40 Vol.

$377 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs EvolupeGG (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

$587 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

47%

ENJOY

$587 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Finance·Fed

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

$19.6K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

44%

$19.6K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Midterms

House control favorite on November 2?

$2.2K Vol.

$28.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

97%

Democratic Party

$2.2K Vol.

$28.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Primaries

Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?

$3.1K Vol.

$69.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

$3.1K Vol.

$69.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Politics·Approvals

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

$670 Vol.

$148 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

20%

$670 Vol.

$148 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Finance·Fed

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

$6.9K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

42%

$6.9K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·California

California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

$2.9K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

61%

$2.9K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Sports·Boxing

Aloys Youmbi vs. Mike Perez

$1.4K Vol.

$212 Liq.

50%

Mike Perez

$1.4K Vol.

$212 Liq.

Politics·Hearing

Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

$387 Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

$387 Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Geopolitics·Israel

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

$4.6K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

42%

$4.6K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Fraternity (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

$19.0K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

50%

ENJOY

$19.0K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs VP.Prodigy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

$724 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

47%

Basement Bobs

$724 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Culture·Movies

"Sense and Sensibility" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

$0 Vol.

$415 Liq.

Ends in 27 days

51%

65+

$0 Vol.

$415 Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Politics·Trump

Nick Fuentes federally charged?

$10.9K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

$10.9K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Opinion predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Opinion prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Opinion markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Opinion prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Opinion predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Opinion odds?

Can I track Opinion predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Opinion markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Opinion prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Opinion markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Opinion prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Opinion predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Opinion odds?

Can I track Opinion predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Opinion markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Opinion predictions & odds