Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner is seeking re-election to represent Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, following her 2024 victory with 54.5 percent of the vote. The district, which encompasses suburban St. Louis areas including Chesterfield and Ballwin plus parts of Franklin County, carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and receives Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Wagner faces several Republican primary challengers on August 4, while Democrats have fielded multiple candidates in their primary, though national targeting by the DCCC has not altered the seat’s competitive positioning. These factors, combined with the absence of major recent polling shifts or scandals, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at current levels.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
20%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,148 거래량
77%
Democratic Party
$2,238 거래량
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner is seeking re-election to represent Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, following her 2024 victory with 54.5 percent of the vote. The district, which encompasses suburban St. Louis areas including Chesterfield and Ballwin plus parts of Franklin County, carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and receives Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Wagner faces several Republican primary challengers on August 4, while Democrats have fielded multiple candidates in their primary, though national targeting by the DCCC has not altered the seat’s competitive positioning. These factors, combined with the absence of major recent polling shifts or scandals, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at current levels.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$5,386종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner is seeking re-election to represent Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, following her 2024 victory with 54.5 percent of the vote. The district, which encompasses suburban St. Louis areas including Chesterfield and Ballwin plus parts of Franklin County, carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and receives Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Wagner faces several Republican primary challengers on August 4, while Democrats have fielded multiple candidates in their primary, though national targeting by the DCCC has not altered the seat’s competitive positioning. These factors, combined with the absence of major recent polling shifts or scandals, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at current levels.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,386종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner is seeking re-election to represent Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District in the November 2026 general election, following her 2024 victory with 54.5 percent of the vote. The district, which encompasses suburban St. Louis areas including Chesterfield and Ballwin plus parts of Franklin County, carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and receives Solid Republican ratings from major forecasters. Wagner faces several Republican primary challengers on August 4, while Democrats have fielded multiple candidates in their primary, though national targeting by the DCCC has not altered the seat’s competitive positioning. These factors, combined with the absence of major recent polling shifts or scandals, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at current levels.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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