Michigan's 11th congressional district continues to favor a Democratic outcome in the 2026 general election, reflecting its established partisan composition and recent electoral patterns. The open seat, created by incumbent Haley Stevens's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, has drawn multiple Democratic primary candidates including Aisha Farooqi and Jeremy Moss ahead of the August 4 contest, while the Republican side features a narrower field led by Ethan Baker. The district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in prior cycles, combined with its location in central Oakland County, underpins trader assessments of limited crossover potential. A late national Republican surge or unexpected primary fallout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current structural conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$56,096 거래량
$56,096 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
96%
공화당
1%
$56,096 거래량
$56,096 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$43,902 거래량
96%
공화당
$12,194 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district continues to favor a Democratic outcome in the 2026 general election, reflecting its established partisan composition and recent electoral patterns. The open seat, created by incumbent Haley Stevens's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, has drawn multiple Democratic primary candidates including Aisha Farooqi and Jeremy Moss ahead of the August 4 contest, while the Republican side features a narrower field led by Ethan Baker. The district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in prior cycles, combined with its location in central Oakland County, underpins trader assessments of limited crossover potential. A late national Republican surge or unexpected primary fallout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current structural conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$56,096종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district continues to favor a Democratic outcome in the 2026 general election, reflecting its established partisan composition and recent electoral patterns. The open seat, created by incumbent Haley Stevens's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, has drawn multiple Democratic primary candidates including Aisha Farooqi and Jeremy Moss ahead of the August 4 contest, while the Republican side features a narrower field led by Ethan Baker. The district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in prior cycles, combined with its location in central Oakland County, underpins trader assessments of limited crossover potential. A late national Republican surge or unexpected primary fallout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current structural conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$56,096종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district continues to favor a Democratic outcome in the 2026 general election, reflecting its established partisan composition and recent electoral patterns. The open seat, created by incumbent Haley Stevens's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid, has drawn multiple Democratic primary candidates including Aisha Farooqi and Jeremy Moss ahead of the August 4 contest, while the Republican side features a narrower field led by Ethan Baker. The district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in prior cycles, combined with its location in central Oakland County, underpins trader assessments of limited crossover potential. A late national Republican surge or unexpected primary fallout could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current structural conditions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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