Maryland's 5th Congressional District, rated D+14 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a stronghold for Democrats, with trader consensus reflecting a 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party nominee as the House election winner on November 3, 2026. The open seat following Steny Hoyer's retirement has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field—over 20 candidates including Adrian Boafo and Harry Dunn—with Delegate Nicole Williams dropping out on May 5 amid fundraising races where top contenders hold significant cash reserves. Republicans face a weak field in this southern Maryland district spanning Prince George's County and more competitive rural areas, where Democrats won by wide margins in 2024. The June 23 primaries loom as the next catalyst, but a major Democratic nominee scandal, extraordinarily low turnout, or a national Republican wave would be needed to challenge this positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,704 거래량
$14,704 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$14,704 거래량
$14,704 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$7,296 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$7,408 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th Congressional District, rated D+14 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a stronghold for Democrats, with trader consensus reflecting a 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party nominee as the House election winner on November 3, 2026. The open seat following Steny Hoyer's retirement has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field—over 20 candidates including Adrian Boafo and Harry Dunn—with Delegate Nicole Williams dropping out on May 5 amid fundraising races where top contenders hold significant cash reserves. Republicans face a weak field in this southern Maryland district spanning Prince George's County and more competitive rural areas, where Democrats won by wide margins in 2024. The June 23 primaries loom as the next catalyst, but a major Democratic nominee scandal, extraordinarily low turnout, or a national Republican wave would be needed to challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$14,704종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th Congressional District, rated D+14 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a stronghold for Democrats, with trader consensus reflecting a 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party nominee as the House election winner on November 3, 2026. The open seat following Steny Hoyer's retirement has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field—over 20 candidates including Adrian Boafo and Harry Dunn—with Delegate Nicole Williams dropping out on May 5 amid fundraising races where top contenders hold significant cash reserves. Republicans face a weak field in this southern Maryland district spanning Prince George's County and more competitive rural areas, where Democrats won by wide margins in 2024. The June 23 primaries loom as the next catalyst, but a major Democratic nominee scandal, extraordinarily low turnout, or a national Republican wave would be needed to challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,704종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 5th Congressional District, rated D+14 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, remains a stronghold for Democrats, with trader consensus reflecting a 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party nominee as the House election winner on November 3, 2026. The open seat following Steny Hoyer's retirement has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field—over 20 candidates including Adrian Boafo and Harry Dunn—with Delegate Nicole Williams dropping out on May 5 amid fundraising races where top contenders hold significant cash reserves. Republicans face a weak field in this southern Maryland district spanning Prince George's County and more competitive rural areas, where Democrats won by wide margins in 2024. The June 23 primaries loom as the next catalyst, but a major Democratic nominee scandal, extraordinarily low turnout, or a national Republican wave would be needed to challenge this positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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