Market icon

Margin in Argentina Presidential Election?

$65,628 Vol.

Nov 18, 2023
Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javier Milei wins the second round of the 2023 Argentina Presidential election by a margin of more than 5%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the margin of victory is the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by each candidate in the election. Valid votes are defined as votes cast for either Sergio Massa or Javier Milei, excluding votes that are blank, null, etc. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each candidate receives by the sum of all valid votes received by both candidates.

For example, if Milei receives 53% of the valid votes, and Massa receives 47% of the valid votes, the difference will be found by subtracting 47 from 53, thus the Milei margin of victory in this case would equal 6 (Milei% - Massa% = Margin of Victory).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Argentine government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/dine).
볼륨
$65,628
종료일
Nov 19, 2023
생성일
Nov 15, 2023, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Javier Milei wins the second round of the 2023 Argentina Presidential election by a margin of more than 5%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the margin of victory is the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by each candidate in the election. Valid votes are defined as votes cast for either Sergio Massa or Javier Milei, excluding votes that are blank, null, etc. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each candidate receives by the sum of all valid votes received by both candidates. For example, if Milei receives 53% of the valid votes, and Massa receives 47% of the valid votes, the difference will be found by subtracting 47 from 53, thus the Milei margin of victory in this case would equal 6 (Milei% - Massa% = Margin of Victory). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Argentine government (e.g. https://www.argentina.gob.ar/interior/dine).

제안된 결과: Yes

이의 없음

최종 결과: Yes

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Margin in Argentina Presidential Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Milei by >5%" at 100%, followed by "Massa by >5%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Margin in Argentina Presidential Election?" has generated $65.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 15, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Margin in Argentina Presidential Election?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Margin in Argentina Presidential Election?" is "Milei by >5%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Massa by >5%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Margin in Argentina Presidential Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Margin in Argentina Presidential Election?

$65,628 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Milei by >5%

$57,091 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Massa by >5%

$8,537 Vol.

No

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Margin in Argentina Presidential Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Milei by >5%" at 100%, followed by "Massa by >5%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Margin in Argentina Presidential Election?" has generated $65.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 15, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Margin in Argentina Presidential Election?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Margin in Argentina Presidential Election?" is "Milei by >5%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Massa by >5%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Margin in Argentina Presidential Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.