The Bureau of Labor Statistics released March 2026 Consumer Price Index data on April 10, showing a 0.9% month-over-month increase in the CPI-U, seasonally adjusted—well above the prior month's 0.3% and confirming trader consensus at 100% implied probability for ≥0.8%. This surge was driven primarily by a 10.9% jump in the energy index, with gasoline prices soaring 21.2% and accounting for nearly three-quarters of the headline gain, amid geopolitical tensions elevating oil prices. Shelter rose modestly 0.3%, food was flat, and core CPI (excluding food and energy) edged up 0.2%, lifting annual inflation to 3.3% from 2.4%. While the official print locks in resolution, rare BLS revisions or data discrepancies could theoretically challenge positioning ahead of the next FOMC review.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트≥0.8% 100.0%
≤0.3% <1%
0.4% <1%
0.5% <1%
$703,745 거래량
$703,745 거래량
≤0.3%
No
0.4%
No
0.5%
No
0.6%
No
0.7%
No
≥0.8%
Yes
≥0.8% 100.0%
≤0.3% <1%
0.4% <1%
0.5% <1%
$703,745 거래량
$703,745 거래량
≤0.3%
No
0.4%
No
0.5%
No
0.6%
No
0.7%
No
≥0.8%
Yes
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
마켓 개설일: Mar 11, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in March 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The Bureau of Labor Statistics released March 2026 Consumer Price Index data on April 10, showing a 0.9% month-over-month increase in the CPI-U, seasonally adjusted—well above the prior month's 0.3% and confirming trader consensus at 100% implied probability for ≥0.8%. This surge was driven primarily by a 10.9% jump in the energy index, with gasoline prices soaring 21.2% and accounting for nearly three-quarters of the headline gain, amid geopolitical tensions elevating oil prices. Shelter rose modestly 0.3%, food was flat, and core CPI (excluding food and energy) edged up 0.2%, lifting annual inflation to 3.3% from 2.4%. While the official print locks in resolution, rare BLS revisions or data discrepancies could theoretically challenge positioning ahead of the next FOMC review.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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