Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for March 2026 US annual CPI inflation at ≥2.8%, directly reflecting the Bureau of Labor Statistics' official release on April 10 showing a 3.3% year-over-year rise—the sharpest since May 2024 and up from February's 2.4%. This surge stems from a 0.9% monthly jump, driven primarily by energy costs soaring 10.9% month-over-month, with gasoline spiking 21.2% amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict, overshadowing softer core CPI at 2.6% YoY. While revisions to preliminary data in future BLS updates pose the only realistic challenge to this near-certainty, the skin-in-the-game pricing underscores unassailable resolution positioning ahead of the May 12 April CPI report and FOMC rate path reassessment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트≥2.8% 100.0%
≤2.0% <1%
2.1% <1%
2.2% <1%
$3,344,780 거래량
$3,344,780 거래량
2026.04.10
≤2.0%
No
2.1%
No
2.2%
No
2.3%
No
2.4%
No
2.5%
No
2.6%
No
2.7%
No
≥2.8%
Yes
≥2.8% 100.0%
≤2.0% <1%
2.1% <1%
2.2% <1%
$3,344,780 거래량
$3,344,780 거래량
2026.04.10
≤2.0%
$213,922 거래량
No
2.1%
$103,332 거래량
No
2.2%
$107,932 거래량
No
2.3%
$239,086 거래량
No
2.4%
$208,605 거래량
No
2.5%
$205,962 거래량
No
2.6%
$176,981 거래량
No
2.7%
$188,599 거래량
No
≥2.8%
$1,900,362 거래량
Yes
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for March 2026 US annual CPI inflation at ≥2.8%, directly reflecting the Bureau of Labor Statistics' official release on April 10 showing a 3.3% year-over-year rise—the sharpest since May 2024 and up from February's 2.4%. This surge stems from a 0.9% monthly jump, driven primarily by energy costs soaring 10.9% month-over-month, with gasoline spiking 21.2% amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict, overshadowing softer core CPI at 2.6% YoY. While revisions to preliminary data in future BLS updates pose the only realistic challenge to this near-certainty, the skin-in-the-game pricing underscores unassailable resolution positioning ahead of the May 12 April CPI report and FOMC rate path reassessment.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
마켓 개설일: Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
거래량
$3,344,780종료일
2026.04.10마켓 개설일
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for March 2026 US annual CPI inflation at ≥2.8%, directly reflecting the Bureau of Labor Statistics' official release on April 10 showing a 3.3% year-over-year rise—the sharpest since May 2024 and up from February's 2.4%. This surge stems from a 0.9% monthly jump, driven primarily by energy costs soaring 10.9% month-over-month, with gasoline spiking 21.2% amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict, overshadowing softer core CPI at 2.6% YoY. While revisions to preliminary data in future BLS updates pose the only realistic challenge to this near-certainty, the skin-in-the-game pricing underscores unassailable resolution positioning ahead of the May 12 April CPI report and FOMC rate path reassessment.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
거래량
$3,344,780종료일
2026.04.10마켓 개설일
Feb 13, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for March 2026 US annual CPI inflation at ≥2.8%, directly reflecting the Bureau of Labor Statistics' official release on April 10 showing a 3.3% year-over-year rise—the sharpest since May 2024 and up from February's 2.4%. This surge stems from a 0.9% monthly jump, driven primarily by energy costs soaring 10.9% month-over-month, with gasoline spiking 21.2% amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict, overshadowing softer core CPI at 2.6% YoY. While revisions to preliminary data in future BLS updates pose the only realistic challenge to this near-certainty, the skin-in-the-game pricing underscores unassailable resolution positioning ahead of the May 12 April CPI report and FOMC rate path reassessment.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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