Market icon

2026년에 출시되는 SpaceX는 몇 개입니까?

Market icon

2026년에 출시되는 SpaceX는 몇 개입니까?

140-159 35.6%

160-179 30%

180~199 20.5%

200회 이상 8%

Polymarket

$200,132 Vol.

140-159 35.6%

160-179 30%

180~199 20.5%

200회 이상 8%

Polymarket

$200,132 Vol.

100회 미만

$1,761 Vol.

<1%

100~119

$1,041 Vol.

1%

120-139

$1,269 Vol.

4%

140-159

$13,518 Vol.

36%

160-179

$54,531 Vol.

30%

180~199

$51,957 Vol.

21%

200회 이상

$76,055 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
볼륨
$200,132
종료일
Dec 31, 2026
생성일
Jan 16, 2026, 12:42 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026년에 출시되는 SpaceX는 몇 개입니까?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "140-159" at 36%, followed by "160-179" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026년에 출시되는 SpaceX는 몇 개입니까?" has generated $200.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026년에 출시되는 SpaceX는 몇 개입니까?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026년에 출시되는 SpaceX는 몇 개입니까?" is "140-159" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "160-179" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026년에 출시되는 SpaceX는 몇 개입니까?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.