2026년 자연재해?

기후

과학

2026년 자연재해?

48%

$112k Vol.

$18.6k Liq.

6

Ends in 11 months

허리케인 시즌이 오기 전에 폭풍으로 명명되었나요?

기후

과학

허리케인 시즌이 오기 전에 폭풍으로 명명되었나요?

28%

$253k Vol.

$4.2k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

2027년 이전에 미국에 상륙하는 카테고리 4 허리케인이 있나요?

기후

과학

2027년 이전에 미국에 상륙하는 카테고리 4 허리케인이 있나요?

34%

$232k Vol.

$4.4k Liq.

4

Ends in 11 months

올여름 민북극 해빙 정도?

기후

날씨

올여름 민북극 해빙 정도?

53%

400만 제곱킬로미터 미만

$1.3k Vol.

$7.2k Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

2026년 주요 화산 폭발 (VEI ≥ 6)?

기후

과학

2026년 주요 화산 폭발 (VEI ≥ 6)?

8%

$25.2k Vol.

$19.7k Liq.

8

Ends in about 1 year

올 겨울 최대 북극 해빙 정도?

기후

날씨

올 겨울 최대 북극 해빙 정도?

17%

1,460만~1,480만 제곱킬로미터

$3.0k Vol.

$6.8k Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

5월 31일까지 허리케인이 미국에 상륙할 예정인가요?

기후

날씨

5월 31일까지 허리케인이 미국에 상륙할 예정인가요?

5%

$3.2k Vol.

$6.5k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 기후.

Polymarket currently hosts 7 active markets for 기후 that lets you track or trade on predictions like "2026년 자연재해?". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $630K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "2027년 이전에 미국에 상륙하는 카테고리 4 허리케인이 있나요?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "올 겨울 최대 북극 해빙 정도?," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is "허리케인 시즌이 오기 전에 폭풍으로 명명되었나요?," where the crowd is currently assigning a 72% chance to 아니오. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 기후 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.